Green Brick Partners Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Green Brick Partners's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 0.8% and 4.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to decline by 4.6% per annum.
Key information
-4.4%
Earnings growth rate
-4.59%
EPS growth rate
| Consumer Durables earnings growth | 8.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | -0.8% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 18 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 02
Green Brick: No Major Incentive To Get On Board Now
Summary Green Brick Partners remains a hold as margin pressures and affordability headwinds persist, with the stock showing minimal movement since the last review. Rising mortgage rates and increased incentives are eroding GRBK’s industry-leading gross margins (with no lift-off in volumes), while budget homes now dominate sales and backlog mix. GRBK trades at a forward P/E of 12x and will likely see negative earnings growth over the next two years, while other mid-cap homebuilders will see flattish growth. Technical analysis signals a directionless, choppy market for GRBK, with no compelling entry point and no dividend to offset opportunity costs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 07
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Green Brick Partners' (NYSE:GRBK) Impressive Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a...Analysis Article • Oct 05
There's No Escaping Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Muted Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ) may be sending bullish...Analysis Article • Sep 06
Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Should You Investigate Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) At US$64.74?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively...Analysis Article • Jun 22
Here's Why Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Investors Aren't Buying Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...Analysis Article • May 17
Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analysis Article • May 05
Here's Why Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Apr 08
Is There Now An Opportunity In Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK)?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement...Seeking Alpha • Mar 12
Green Brick Partners Q4: Fantastic Performance, Overshadowed By Uncertainty
Summary Green Brick Partners, Inc. reported impressive Q4 results with $567.3m revenue, 46.2% y/y EPS growth, and record high gross margins, despite market uncertainties. Rising mortgage rates and potential tariffs pose significant risks to future demand and profitability, particularly affecting entry-level buyers and housing affordability. The company's strong balance sheet and efficient operations provide a cushion, but economic and market uncertainties make me hesitant to invest right now. I recommend holding GRBK stock due to short-term uncertainties, but the long-term outlook remains positive for existing investors willing to average down. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 17
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GRBK ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.8x might make it look like a strong...Analysis Article • Feb 05
Does Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Jan 12
Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Ideally, a business...Seeking Alpha • Jan 06
Green Brick Partners: An Overlooked Gem With A Recent Price Dip
Summary Green Brick Partners excels with a traditional homebuilding model, self-developing land, and maintaining industry-leading margins and low leverage, unlike peers using the land-light model. The company benefits from strategic locations in high-growth markets like Texas, Georgia, and Florida, and is well-positioned to capitalize on long-term demographic shifts. Strong financials include a low debt-to-capital ratio, robust liquidity, and significant cash reserves, providing flexibility and stability in a cyclical industry. Despite market cyclicality, GBRK's attractive valuation and demand-supply imbalance in the US housing market present a compelling buy opportunity for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 31
At US$56.10, Is It Time To Put Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) On Your Watch List?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Seeking Alpha • Dec 27
Green Brick Partners: Buy A Good Company With An Excellent Board
Summary The company's gross profit margin was 32.7% while its closest competitor reached a value of 28.8%. Revenues for the quarter amounted to $523 million, which represents an increase of 25.7% YoY. By the end of 2024, the company has a total of 31,425 lots compared to 6,420 in 2019. The company's debt as a percentage of its total capital represents 16.4%. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 07
Does Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Nov 13
Investors Aren't Buying Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Oct 23
Green Brick Partners: Optimism Ahead As Industry Signals Improve
Summary Green Brick Partners, Inc. has achieved great growth in the tailwind-aided home building industry. The land development strategy has brought a great competitive advantage during higher interest rates, making the recent interest rate falls a double-edge sword for GRBK. The home building industry's near-term outlook has improved with several macroeconomic factors pushing a recovery. Green Brick Partners' Q3 should be aided further by a strong backlog. GRBK stock's valuation is balanced. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 28
Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analysis Article • Sep 16
Is Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) Potentially Undervalued?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price...
New Narrative • Sep 04
Brick Mortgage's Bold Moves Set To Revolutionize Homebuilding And Mortgage Markets
Green Brick Partners' formation of Green Brick Mortgage to secure all mortgage profits and their effective land acquisition strategy underscores a push for increased net margins and market competitivAnalysis Article • Sep 04
Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Aug 15
Do Green Brick Partners' (NYSE:GRBK) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Seeking Alpha • Aug 14
Green Brick Partners: Good Business, But A Questionable Buy Now
Summary Green Brick Partners stock has outperformed other homebuilders by over 2x on a YTD basis. We touch upon why this business stands out in the industry. We highlight why it may not make a good BUY now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 03
Green Brick Partners, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 31%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers...Analysis Article • Jul 29
Even With A 31% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Performance Completely
Despite an already strong run, Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Seeking Alpha • May 28
Green Brick Partners: Overdue For Some Consolidation
Summary Green Brick Partners has performed well in navigating the challenges of the housing sector, including high interest rates and tepid existing home sales. The company operates in states experiencing a large amount of intrastate migration and job growth above the national average. Despite beating expectations in the first quarter, analysts remain cautious about Green Brick's prospects, and the stock is selling at the high end of its P/BV historical valuation. We take a deeper look at Green Brick Partners after the big recent run in equity in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 23
Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Is Achieving High Returns On Its Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • May 08
Does Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Apr 22
What Does Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Share Price Indicate?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price...Analysis Article • Apr 08
Market Cool On Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRBK) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Mar 18
Green Brick Offers Low P/E, Growth Prospects Even In Down Market
Summary Green Brick Partners is a Texas-centric homebuilding and land development company that has broken new records in the most recent quarter and fiscal year. They have a strong presence in Dallas-Fort Worth and Austin, Texas, and are about to enter the Houston market, which saw the largest number of new home constructions in 2023. Green Brick has experienced significant growth, with record home-closing revenue, gross margins, and new orders, making it an attractive investment option. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 13
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Green Brick Partners' (NYSE:GRBK) Impressive Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...Analysis Article • Jan 29
Here's Why Green Brick Partners (NYSE:GRBK) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Jan 16
Green Brick Partners: Should You Move Into The Preferreds?
Summary GRBK's Series A preferreds offer an 8% yield on cost and are trading at a 29% discount to their liquidation price of $25 per share. The company's common shares are trading near all-time highs, with a record high gross margin and strong earnings. Cash and equivalents of $223.45 million means a material level of coverage for the preferred payments with GRBK also materially delivering its balance sheet. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 15
Is Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) Potentially Undervalued?
Green Brick Partners, Inc. ( NYSE:GRBK ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of...Analysis Article • Jan 02
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (NYSE:GRBK) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GRBK ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x might make it look like a buy...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 2,031 | 272 | N/A | 206 | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,897 | 250 | N/A | 133 | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 2,075 | 296 | 195 | 201 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,098 | 310 | 208 | 213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 2,105 | 336 | 158 | 162 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 2,129 | 347 | 163 | 166 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,141 | 370 | 90 | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,099 | 379 | 22 | 26 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,982 | 348 | -29 | -22 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,877 | 331 | -1 | 6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,773 | 301 | 52 | 60 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,778 | 282 | 206 | 213 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,758 | 264 | 287 | 292 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,747 | 266 | 248 | 251 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,816 | 292 | 256 | 259 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,758 | 289 | 89 | 91 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 1,779 | 298 | 52 | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1,713 | 273 | 74 | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,562 | 225 | -100 | -98 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,403 | 190 | -94 | -92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,205 | 156 | -146 | -143 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,138 | 142 | -126 | -123 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 997 | 124 | 23 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 976 | 114 | 32 | 35 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 952 | 100 | 61 | 63 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 886 | 81 | 35 | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 836 | 62 | -15 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 792 | 59 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 747 | 56 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 689 | 53 | N/A | -48 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 663 | 53 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 624 | 52 | N/A | -39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 579 | 30 | N/A | -33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 540 | 27 | N/A | -34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 488 | 20 | N/A | -55 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 458 | 15 | N/A | -18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 438 | 31 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 416 | 28 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 410 | 27 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 391 | 24 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 346 | 21 | N/A | -29 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 330 | 17 | N/A | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 303 | 14 | N/A | -54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 291 | 15 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 273 | 42 | N/A | -25 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GRBK's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).
Earnings vs Market: GRBK's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GRBK's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: GRBK's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GRBK's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.8% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if GRBK's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/06 08:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/02 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rohit Seth | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Ryan Gilbert | BTIG |
| Aaron Hecht | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |