Green Brick Partners, Inc.

NYSE:GRBK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.1b

Green Brick Partners Valuation

Is GRBK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRBK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GRBK's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate GRBK's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRBK?

Key metric: As GRBK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRBK. This is calculated by dividing GRBK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRBK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
EarningsUS$347.92m
Market CapUS$3.07b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRBK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRBK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.7x
CVCO Cavco Industries
26x17.8%US$3.8b
CCS Century Communities
8.4x13.8%US$2.7b
MHO M/I Homes
7.9x5.8%US$4.2b
TPH Tri Pointe Homes
8.5x-1.2%US$3.9b
GRBK Green Brick Partners
8.8x5.6%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRBK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
GRBK 8.8xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies11PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the US Consumer Durables industry average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRBK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRBK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GRBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRBK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$68.68
US$74.00
+7.7%
5.4%US$78.00US$70.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$68.51
US$74.00
+8.0%
5.4%US$78.00US$70.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$82.86
US$69.00
-16.7%
13.0%US$78.00US$60.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$78.78
US$69.00
-12.4%
13.0%US$78.00US$60.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$72.88
US$57.50
-21.1%
7.8%US$62.00US$53.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$55.75
US$57.50
+3.1%
7.8%US$62.00US$53.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$54.60
US$57.50
+5.3%
7.8%US$62.00US$53.00n/a2
May ’25US$55.05
US$54.00
-1.9%
9.3%US$59.00US$49.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$60.31
US$54.00
-10.5%
9.3%US$59.00US$49.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$54.61
US$52.00
-4.8%
5.8%US$55.00US$49.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$53.50
US$50.00
-6.5%
10.0%US$55.00US$45.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$51.94
US$48.00
-7.6%
6.3%US$51.00US$45.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$48.53
US$48.00
-1.1%
6.3%US$51.00US$45.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$41.48
US$52.50
+26.6%
14.3%US$60.00US$45.00US$68.512
Oct ’24US$41.51
US$52.50
+26.5%
14.3%US$60.00US$45.00US$82.862
Sep ’24US$50.69
US$52.50
+3.6%
14.3%US$60.00US$45.00US$78.782
Aug ’24US$56.81
US$51.00
-10.2%
21.6%US$62.00US$40.00US$72.882
Jul ’24US$56.80
US$51.00
-10.2%
21.6%US$62.00US$40.00US$55.752
Jun ’24US$49.14
US$44.00
-10.5%
9.1%US$48.00US$40.00US$54.602
May ’24US$36.99
US$29.50
-20.2%
1.7%US$30.00US$29.00US$55.052
Apr ’24US$35.06
US$29.50
-15.9%
1.7%US$30.00US$29.00US$60.312
Mar ’24US$31.82
US$30.50
-4.1%
4.8%US$32.50US$29.00US$54.613
Feb ’24US$32.39
US$24.17
-25.4%
6.8%US$26.50US$23.00US$53.503
Jan ’24US$24.23
US$24.17
-0.3%
6.8%US$26.50US$23.00US$51.943
Dec ’23US$24.79
US$24.17
-2.5%
6.8%US$26.50US$23.00US$48.533
Nov ’23US$23.75
US$22.17
-6.7%
15.9%US$26.00US$17.50US$41.483

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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