Stock Analysis

D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) Stock Rockets 26% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

NYSE:DHI
Source: Shutterstock

The D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:DHI) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 39% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider D.R. Horton as an attractive investment with its 11.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, D.R. Horton has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for D.R. Horton

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DHI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 27th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on D.R. Horton will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For D.R. Horton?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as D.R. Horton's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.7% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 51% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.5% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that D.R. Horton's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On D.R. Horton's P/E

D.R. Horton's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of D.R. Horton's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for D.R. Horton with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than D.R. Horton. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.