There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Latham Group (NASDAQ:SWIM), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Latham Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.063 = US$51m ÷ (US$921m - US$116m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to October 2022).
Therefore, Latham Group has an ROCE of 6.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Leisure industry average of 21%.
See our latest analysis for Latham Group
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Latham Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Latham Group.
How Are Returns Trending?
The returns on capital haven't changed much for Latham Group in recent years. The company has consistently earned 6.3% for the last two years, and the capital employed within the business has risen 51% in that time. This poor ROCE doesn't inspire confidence right now, and with the increase in capital employed, it's evident that the business isn't deploying the funds into high return investments.
In Conclusion...
As we've seen above, Latham Group's returns on capital haven't increased but it is reinvesting in the business. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 77% over the last year, it appears investors are expecting the worst. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Latham Group we've found 2 warning signs (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:SWIM
Latham Group
Designs, manufactures, and markets in-ground residential swimming pools in North America, Australia, and New Zealand.
Moderate growth potential with acceptable track record.