Stock Analysis

Cavco Industries (CVCO): Evaluating Valuation as Shares Climb 27% Year-to-Date

Cavco Industries (CVCO) has continued its steady climb, with the stock up 5% over the past month and 27% so far this year. Investors are watching closely as the company’s performance trends upward.

See our latest analysis for Cavco Industries.

With Cavco Industries’ share price advancing 27% year-to-date and total shareholder return reaching nearly 20% over the last twelve months, momentum remains strong. Recent gains reflect growing optimism around the company’s continued growth trajectory and improved industry sentiment.

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With shares climbing rapidly and optimism running high, are investors still catching Cavco Industries with room to run, or is the market already reflecting every bit of the company’s promising growth in its price?

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Most Popular Narrative: 4.9% Undervalued

With Cavco Industries closing at $557.97 and the narrative’s fair value set at $586.67, the latest outlook sees a modest gap between price and potential. This keeps attention focused on which business factors could push valuation further.

The ongoing housing affordability crisis continues to drive significantly higher demand for manufactured homes, with Cavco reporting strong volume growth and sequential increases in both shipments and pricing. This points to durable revenue expansion as affordability constraints persist for traditional housing.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what turns housing shortages into big profits? The narrative points to a future shaped by expansion, efficiency, and notable revenue projections. Find out which assumptions drive Cavco’s upside and why analysts have raised their targets. Read the details and decide if the numbers support the premium.

Result: Fair Value of $586.67 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent tariff pressures and regional market softness could still challenge Cavco’s growth story and could affect future earnings momentum.

Find out about the key risks to this Cavco Industries narrative.

Another View: Looking at Market Multiples

While the fair value estimate points to a 4.9% discount, market pricing tells a different story. Cavco Industries currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.1x, which is well above the industry average of 10.5x and the calculated fair ratio of 14.9x. This premium signals that investors may be paying up for future growth, which could mean there is less room for error if expectations falter. Could this rich valuation pose a risk, or does it reflect lasting momentum?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NasdaqGS:CVCO PE Ratio as at Nov 2025
NasdaqGS:CVCO PE Ratio as at Nov 2025

Build Your Own Cavco Industries Narrative

If you see a different story in the numbers or want to dig in for your own conclusions, try building your perspective from scratch in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Cavco Industries research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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