Spire Global Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Spire Global's earnings are forecast to decline at 96.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 15% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 104.7% per annum.
Key information
-96.7%
Earnings growth rate
-104.72%
EPS growth rate
| Professional Services earnings growth | 15.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 15.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 08 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 27
SPIR: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Against Rising Expectations
Spire Global’s analyst price target has shifted from $17.00 to $17.60. Analysts cite updated fair value estimates, a slightly lower discount rate, and modest adjustments to projected revenue growth and future P/E assumptions.Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
Spire Global: Innovation Tailwinds Driving A Competitive Catch-Up
Summary Spire Global is positioned to commercialize single-satellite RF geolocation, targeting high-value defense and intelligence contracts. SPIR’s advances in geomagnetic sensing and AI-driven agricultural intelligence support its transition to a high-margin, recurring data-as-a-service model. Despite a 60% stock run-up, SPIR trades at elevated sales multiples, reflecting investor expectations for strong future growth and margin expansion. A $70M private placement signals near-term dilution risk but enhances SPIR’s capacity to fund innovation and pursue high-growth government and commercial markets. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 11
SPIR: Execution Risk Around Revenue And Margin Assumptions Will Pressure Future Returns
Spire Global's updated analyst price target moves from $13.70 to $17.00 as analysts factor in higher modeled revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple, which is reflected in recent target hikes from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts recently lifted price targets in increments of about $2 to $8, which signals growing confidence in the updated revenue and margin assumptions that underpin the higher modeled valuation range.Narrative Update • Mar 12
SPIR: Higher Future P/E Expectations Will Support Continued Bullish Thesis
Analysts have raised their price target on Spire Global by $5 to reflect updated assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher price target as a reflection of updated assumptions that support a stronger long term revenue trajectory, which they see as better aligned with the company’s market opportunity.Narrative Update • Feb 26
SPIR: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support A Stronger Bullish Outlook
The analyst price target for Spire Global has been raised by $5, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around the company’s future P/E multiple as the key driver behind this change. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher target price as better aligned with their updated P/E assumptions, suggesting they now see more value in the equity relative to their prior framework.Narrative Update • Feb 09
SPIR: December Guidance And Defense Contract Wins Will Support Bullish Outlook
Narrative update Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Spire Global from US$12.50 to US$13.70, citing recent price target revisions and ongoing company updates as key inputs to their refreshed assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates present a mixed picture for Spire Global, with some analysts turning more optimistic on the upside potential while others are dialing back expectations and focusing on execution risks.Narrative Update • Jan 26
SPIR: December Guidance And Filing Delays Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Spire Global from $11.50 to $12.50, reflecting updated discount rate and P/E assumptions following recent Street research. This research includes both a $5 price target increase from one firm and a reset to $12 from another, after delayed but better than expected Q2 results and an upcoming 2025 guidance update.Narrative Update • Jan 12
SPIR: December Update Will Weigh Filing Delays Against New Contract Pipeline
Narrative Update on Spire Global Analysts have trimmed their price target on Spire Global from US$13.25 to US$11.50, citing recent research that pairs cautious valuation assumptions with expectations for updated guidance at the upcoming financial update call. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a shift in how analysts balance Spire Global's execution against its current valuation, especially around the timing of financial updates and the implications for future guidance.Narrative Update • Dec 19
SPIR: December Financial Update Will Clarify Outlook Amid Contract Momentum
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Spire Global from $16.25 to $13.25, reflecting a more conservative valuation. At the same time, improving revenue growth and margin expectations support maintaining a constructive long term outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 13
Spire Global's (NYSE:SPIR) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential
The healthy profit announcement from Spire Global, Inc. ( NYSE:SPIR ) didn't seem to impress investors. We think that...
New Narrative • Mar 28
Space Analytics And Climate Solutions Will Unlock Future Markets
Spire Global sees future growth in climate solutions and global security via space-based data, marking a major revenue opportunity.Analysis Article • Mar 10
Spire Global, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPIR) 47% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Spire Global, Inc. ( NYSE:SPIR ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Seeking Alpha • Feb 12
Spire Global: Debt Issues Back In Focus After Failed Maritime Business Sale -- Sell
Summary Spire Global, Inc.'s shares sold off after the satellite data provider failed to close on the $241 million sale of its maritime business. As a result, debt issues are back in focus, with secured lender Blue Torch Capital having the right to accelerate the company's debt at any time. Adding insult to injury, Spire Global is experiencing liquidity issues, thus resulting in the requirement to raise additional capital in the near term. Under a worst-case scenario, the company might end up in bankruptcy. With a dilutive near-term equity financing increasingly likely, I am reiterating my “Sell” rating on SPIR shares. Investors should remain on the sidelines until the company has successfully addressed its current debt and liquidity issues. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 08
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Spire Global, Inc. (NYSE:SPIR)
Key Insights Spire Global's estimated fair value is US$21.08 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Spire Global's...Seeking Alpha • Jan 25
Spire Global: Maritime Sale Reduces Risk
Summary Spire Global is rated a Buy due to its potential in generative AI and satellite data integration, despite recent financial uncertainties. The sale of the maritime business and debt elimination have nearly doubled the stock's value, reducing major risks. Future growth is anticipated in Aviation, Weather, and Space Services segments, with potential positive cash flows from new contracts in the last two quarters. Valuation remains promising, with potential for significant returns if the remaining business can achieve previous growth expectations. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
Spire Global: Maritime Business Sale Provides Validation
Summary Despite facing several headwinds recently, Spire Global, Inc.'s share price has trended higher recently. Some of this is the result of growing enthusiasm for the space sector in general. There also appears to be a growing appreciation of Spire's business. The sale of Spire's maritime business significantly strengthens the company's balance sheet and validates the value of its services. While Spire's margins and growth will take a temporary hit, the company retains its infrastructure and the majority of its customer base. Even with recent share price increases, SPIR's revenue multiple suggests it remains undervalued. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 26
Spire Global Approaches Profitability
Summary From this low price point, Spire Global offers aggressive space investors some margin of safety. The article includes coverage of a podcast interview with the CEO of Spire Global, discussing space, SPACs, and profitability. Option premiums are generous for option sellers, given heavy shorting and the battleground nature of this stock. Spire Global is a great trading stock with a bias toward long investors over the intermediate term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 11
Spire Global: A Recently Inked Milestone Deal Once Again Overshadowed By Another Management Blunder
Summary Spire Global recently announced that they are unable to timely file their 10-Q report for the second quarter, resulting in a tumbling share price over the subsequent days. The company is currently reviewing the accounting treatment of potentially “embedded leases” included in certain contracts in its “Space-as-a-Service” business. Spire entered into a waiver and amendment to its current financing agreement with its sole debt provider in exchange for a very generous penalty fee. A recently signed – potentially transformational – deal involves the construction and operation of a 100-satellite constellation for air traffic surveillance. Investors might want to seize the opportunity of a decimated share price due to another management misstep in light of continuously larger deals on the horizon. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 15
Spire Global: Sell On Accounting Issues And Debt Covenant Violations
Summary Rather than reporting Q2/2024 results, satellite data provider Spire Global disclosed potential revenue recognition issues and debt covenant violations. With the company likely facing a protracted accounting review, stakeholders could be left in the dark regarding Spire Global's financial performance and condition for an extended period of time. Without reliable financials, the company's term loan lender is not likely to provide a waiver or additional debt covenant relief. Under a worst-case scenario, Spire Global might end up in bankruptcy, with common shareholders at risk of holding the bag. Given the company's vastly increased risk profile and substantial uncertainties regarding the path forward for the business, investors should consider moving to the sidelines. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 11
Does Spire Global (NYSE:SPIR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jul 15
Spire Global, Inc.'s (NYSE:SPIR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 52% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Spire Global fair value estimate is US$18.43 Current share...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 97 | -32 | -21 | 4 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 79 | -57 | -46 | -25 | 5 |
| 12/31/2025 | 72 | 51 | -93 | -60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 77 | 28 | -101 | -75 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 93 | 35 | -75 | -49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 100 | -101 | -46 | -18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 110 | -103 | -45 | -18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 113 | -72 | -23 | 4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 107 | -83 | -44 | -21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 109 | -84 | -54 | -32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 98 | -78 | -54 | -36 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 86 | -88 | -60 | -42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 85 | -86 | -57 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 76 | -106 | -63 | -43 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 71 | -99 | -67 | -46 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 73 | -7 | -83 | -61 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 62 | -42 | -95 | -72 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 52 | -30 | -81 | -62 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 43 | -38 | -74 | -58 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 36 | -113 | -58 | -46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 33 | -64 | -39 | -30 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 34 | -42 | -29 | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 28 | -33 | -25 | -15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 18 | -32 | -26 | -17 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: SPIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-96.7% per year).
Earnings vs Market: SPIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-96.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: SPIR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: SPIR's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: SPIR's revenue (15% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if SPIR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/13 10:07 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Spire Global, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brian Kinstlinger | Alliance Global Partners |
| Ronald Epstein | BofA Global Research |
| Austin Moeller | Canaccord Genuity |