Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Science Applications International (NYSE:SAIC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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NYSE:SAIC
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Science Applications International Corporation (NYSE:SAIC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Science Applications International's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Science Applications International had debt of US$2.37b at the end of October 2022, a reduction from US$2.63b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$53.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.32b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SAIC Debt to Equity History March 29th 2023

How Strong Is Science Applications International's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Science Applications International had liabilities of US$1.23b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.70b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$53.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.06b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.82b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Science Applications International has a market capitalization of US$5.76b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Science Applications International's debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Unfortunately, Science Applications International saw its EBIT slide 3.0% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Science Applications International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Science Applications International actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Science Applications International was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit handle its debt, based on its EBITDA,. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Science Applications International's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Science Applications International that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

What are the risks and opportunities for Science Applications International?

Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and enterprise information technology (IT) services primarily in the United States.

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Rewards

  • Trading at 28.4% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings are forecast to grow 5.59% per year

  • Earnings grew by 8.5% over the past year

Risks

  • Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

  • Has a high level of debt

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