A Look at ManpowerGroup (MAN) Valuation Following Updated Q4 2025 Earnings Outlook

ManpowerGroup (MAN) just shared its earnings outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025, anticipating diluted EPS between $0.78 and $0.88. This guidance includes an 8 cent lift from currency fluctuations and assumes a 47% effective tax rate.

See our latest analysis for ManpowerGroup.

ManpowerGroup’s latest earnings outlook arrives as shares have been struggling. After another dip this week, the share price is down almost 40% year-to-date, pushing the 1-year total shareholder return even lower to nearly -43%. With momentum clearly fading, investors seem increasingly cautious about near-term recovery, even as the company signals some optimism in its guidance.

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With shares trading at a sizable discount to analyst price targets and a history of lackluster returns, it raises the question: is ManpowerGroup now undervalued, or is the market already factoring in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 26% Undervalued

With ManpowerGroup's fair value pegged at $46.44 and the last close at $34.38, the most followed narrative sees significant upside if future projections are achieved. This optimism hinges on catalysts that could reshape the company's revenue and margin profile over the next several years.

“ManpowerGroup's ongoing investment in AI-driven digital platforms like PowerSuite and Sophie AI is accelerating operational efficiency, enabling more precise sales targeting and automation of recruiting workflows. This should drive scalable revenue growth and net margin expansion as these tools are deployed across more regions and business lines.”

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what future numbers could justify this premium? The key to this upbeat valuation lies in bold forecasts for revenue, profit margins, and a market-defying earnings multiple. Curious what financial leaps are being bet on? See which big assumptions could turn today's uncertainty into tomorrow's rebound.

Result: Fair Value of $46.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising tech-based competition and execution risk in digital strategy could quickly derail these upbeat expectations for ManpowerGroup’s future recovery.

Find out about the key risks to this ManpowerGroup narrative.

Build Your Own ManpowerGroup Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig deeper into the numbers on your own terms, you can put together a personal narrative in just a few minutes, your way with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your ManpowerGroup research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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