Stock Analysis

KBR (KBR) Deepens F/A-18 Role: What Does This Say About Its Defense-Heavy Strategy?

  • KBR recently announced it has secured an estimated US$117 million cost-plus-fixed-fee follow-on contract to support NAVAIR’s F/A-18 and EA-18G Foreign Military Sales programs for Australia, Finland and Switzerland over five years.
  • This award reinforces KBR’s long-running role in high-complexity defense aviation support, deepening its ties with U.S. and allied air forces while extending multiyear revenue visibility.
  • We’ll now examine how this new F/A-18 support contract shapes KBR’s investment narrative, particularly around defense exposure and contract visibility.

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KBR Investment Narrative Recap

To own KBR, you need to believe in its shift toward higher margin government and technology services while managing lumpier large contracts and funding cycles. The new US$117 million NAVAIR follow on adds useful defense revenue visibility but is small relative to KBR’s US$8.7–US$9.1 billion guidance range, so it does not materially change the near term focus on contract delays and the HomeSafe setback as key swing factors.

Against that backdrop, the most relevant recent development is KBR’s plan to spin off its Mission Technology Solutions government services segment by mid to late 2026, which has already drawn renewed analyst attention. For investors weighing today’s contract news, this future separation could reshape how KBR’s defense exposure, contract mix and earnings volatility are viewed as the company works through near term government funding uncertainties.

Yet behind the reassuring contract wins and planned spin off, investors should also be aware of how delays or disruptions to defense and NASA budget flows could...

Read the full narrative on KBR (it's free!)

KBR's narrative projects $9.4 billion revenue and $664.3 million earnings by 2028.

Uncover how KBR's forecasts yield a $55.62 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

KBR Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
KBR Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$40 to US$5,409.58, showing how far apart individual views on KBR can be. Set against this, ongoing risks around large fixed price government contracts and potential funding delays remind you to weigh these diverse opinions against how resilient KBR’s contract pipeline really is over time.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on KBR - why the stock might be worth 10% less than the current price!

Build Your Own KBR Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your KBR research is our analysis highlighting 6 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free KBR research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate KBR's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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About NYSE:KBR

KBR

Provides scientific, technology, and engineering solutions to governments and commercial customers worldwide.

Very undervalued established dividend payer.

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