Stock Analysis

A Fresh Look at CBIZ (CBZ) Valuation Following Recent Share Price Decline

CBIZ (CBZ) has quietly outperformed over the past five years, logging over 120% total return. Even with mixed returns this year, the company’s recent annual revenue and net income growth are among the reasons some investors continue to keep an eye on it.

See our latest analysis for CBIZ.

CBIZ’s share price has come under pressure this year, recently closing at $52.77 and recording a year-to-date price return of -34.98%. While short-term momentum has faded, especially given the sharp 90-day decline, the company’s 5-year total shareholder return of 127.85% stands out. This highlights strong long-term wealth creation even after the recent pullback.

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With shares down so sharply this year, is CBIZ now trading at an attractive discount? Or is the market simply reflecting the company’s true long-term prospects in the current price? Is there real upside, or is future growth already fully priced in?

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Most Popular Narrative: 44.5% Undervalued

With CBIZ’s last close of $52.77 sitting far below the narrative fair value of $95.00, attention is turning to what’s fueling this valuation gap and the assumptions underpinning it.

The Marcum acquisition has significantly expanded CBIZ's client base, increased scale, and strengthened capabilities in core tax, accounting, and advisory services. This enables the firm to leverage cross-selling, deepen client relationships, and improve its competitive position in target middle-market segments. This is expected to fuel higher future revenue growth and structural margin expansion as integration synergies are realized.

Read the complete narrative.

What is the secret number behind this bullish valuation? The most popular view hinges on bold growth bets and ambitious profit margin expansion, all resting on a single transformative acquisition. Find out which assumptions could send this stock soaring or miss the mark.

Result: Fair Value of $95.00 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent pricing pressure and reliance on acquisitions could limit CBIZ’s revenue growth and create challenges for its path to sustained margin expansion.

Find out about the key risks to this CBIZ narrative.

Build Your Own CBIZ Narrative

You might see the numbers differently, or want to dig deeper and interpret CBIZ’s story in your own way, so why not build your own view in just a few minutes: Do it your way

A great starting point for your CBIZ research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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