Stock Analysis

Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

NasdaqCM:VRRM
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 68.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Verra Mobility has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Verra Mobility

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:VRRM Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 1st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Verra Mobility.

Is There Enough Growth For Verra Mobility?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Verra Mobility's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 41%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 54% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Verra Mobility's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Verra Mobility maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Verra Mobility is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Verra Mobility, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Verra Mobility is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.