Verra Mobility Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Verra Mobility is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.5% and 4.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 35.6% in 3 years.
Key information
11.5%
Earnings growth rate
13.03%
EPS growth rate
| Professional Services earnings growth | 15.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.4% |
| Future return on equity | 35.58% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 25
VRRM: Long Term Enforcement Contracts Will Support Margins Despite Weaker Near Term Outlook
Analysts have reduced their blended price target on Verra Mobility by a few dollars to the low $20s. This change largely reflects updated models after Q4 results, the impact of a weaker Q1 and contract mix on margins, and a more cautious stance under ongoing macro uncertainty.Narrative Update • Apr 10
VRRM: Long Term Enforcement Contracts Will Offset Margin Pressures Going Forward
Verra Mobility's updated analyst price targets now cluster in a lower $20 to $26 range, reflecting revisions tied to recent earnings, macro uncertainty, and margin pressures that analysts see around key contracts and segment mix. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a reset in expectations around Verra Mobility, with multiple firms trimming price targets while keeping their existing ratings.Narrative Update • Mar 27
VRRM: Long Term Enforcement Contracts Are Expected To Support Future Upside
Analysts have slightly reduced the implied fair value for Verra Mobility to about $24.86 from roughly $25.14. This reflects updated price targets that factor in recent Q4 results, a softer near term margin outlook and ongoing macro uncertainty.
New Narrative • Mar 12
Automated Traffic Enforcement Shift Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Verra Mobility Verra Mobility provides technology and services that support automated traffic enforcement, tolling, and parking for governments, rental car companies, and commercial fleets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 12
VRRM: New Long Term Enforcement Contracts Are Expected To Support Future Upside
Analysts trimmed our fair value estimate for Verra Mobility by $1.00 to $25.14, reflecting a series of reduced Street price targets as models are refreshed after recent results and amid ongoing macro questions. Analyst Commentary Street research on Verra Mobility has converged around lower price targets, with most firms updating their models after recent quarterly results and in light of broader macro questions.
New Narrative • Feb 26
Expanded Enforcement And Slower MOSAIC Savings Will Pressure Margins Yet Long-Term Potential Remains
Catalysts About Verra Mobility Verra Mobility provides technology and services that support automated traffic enforcement, tolling and parking management for governments, rental car companies and fleets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Feb 26
VRRM: Core Contract Wins Are Expected To Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Verra Mobility has been reset from an implied fair value of about $29.83 to roughly $26.14, as analysts trim revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions following recent Q4 and Q1 updates, while still seeing healthy underlying demand in core segments. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around lower price targets, with most analysts revising their models after Q4 results and a softer Q1, while still seeing support from core business drivers.Analysis Article • Jan 05
Earnings Tell The Story For Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 69.7x Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) may be sending very...Narrative Update • Nov 15
VRRM: Shares Are Expected To Rise On Improved Profitability Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Verra Mobility from $28 to $30. They cite recent optimism around the company’s growth prospects and profitability outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 30
VRRM: Equity Buyback Expansion And Outlook Will Drive Market Momentum
Verra Mobility's analyst price target has been raised from $29.17 to $29.83. This change reflects analysts' optimism following recent upward revisions and positive outlooks for the company.Analysis Article • Sep 04
Is Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Verra Mobility Corporation Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
Last week, you might have seen that Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) released its quarterly result to the...Analysis Article • May 20
Investors Can Find Comfort In Verra Mobility's (NASDAQ:VRRM) Earnings Quality
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ), despite the...Analysis Article • May 14
Most Shareholders Will Probably Find That The CEO Compensation For Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) Is Reasonable
Key Insights Verra Mobility's Annual General Meeting to take place on 20th of May Total pay for CEO David Roberts...Analysis Article • Apr 22
What Verra Mobility Corporation's (NASDAQ:VRRM) P/S Is Not Telling You
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Professional Services industry in the United States have...Analysis Article • Mar 22
Does Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jan 22
Investors Appear Satisfied With Verra Mobility Corporation's (NASDAQ:VRRM) Prospects
Verra Mobility Corporation's ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.5x might make it look like a...Analysis Article • Jan 07
Is Now The Time To Put Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) On Your Watchlist?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analysis Article • Dec 06
The Return Trends At Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Look Promising
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Amongst other things...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of Verra Mobility's (NASDAQ:VRRM) Earnings
Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) recently. Our...Analysis Article • Nov 01
Are Investors Undervaluing Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) By 48%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Verra Mobility is US$50.05 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...Analysis Article • Sep 06
We Think Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
New Narrative • Aug 31
Automated Enforcement And Fleet Management Propel Market Share And Revenue Growth
Expansion in automated traffic enforcement and legislation indicates potential for significant market and revenue growth in government solutions.Analysis Article • Aug 24
Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Ticks All The Boxes When It Comes To Earnings Growth
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Jul 29
At US$30.39, Is It Time To Put Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) On Your Watch List?
Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Are Investors Undervaluing Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) By 42%?
Key Insights Verra Mobility's estimated fair value is US$46.39 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Verra Mobility...Analysis Article • May 21
Here's Why Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • May 01
Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may...Analysis Article • Apr 18
Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to...Analysis Article • Apr 04
Is Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) Potentially Undervalued?
Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise...Analysis Article • Mar 20
Calculating The Fair Value Of Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Key Insights Verra Mobility's estimated fair value is US$27.41 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • Mar 03
Verra Mobility Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Investors in Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.9% to close at US$22.88...Analysis Article • Jan 29
Earnings Tell The Story For Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM)
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may...Analysis Article • Jan 16
Is Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jan 03
Why Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) Could Be Worth Watching
Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NASDAQCM gainers with...Analysis Article • Dec 04
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM)
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analysis Article • Nov 03
Are Investors Undervaluing Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM) By 24%?
Key Insights Verra Mobility's estimated fair value is US$26.72 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analysis Article • Sep 19
When Should You Buy Verra Mobility Corporation (NASDAQ:VRRM)?
While Verra Mobility Corporation ( NASDAQ:VRRM ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a...Analysis Article • Sep 04
Verra Mobility (NASDAQ:VRRM) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,136 | 209 | 272 | 341 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,095 | 181 | 244 | 324 | 8 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,025 | 148 | 176 | 282 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 979 | 131 | 105 | 234 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 979 | 137 | 137 | 256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 943 | 51 | 153 | 256 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 906 | 39 | 189 | 287 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 893 | 35 | 174 | 252 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 879 | 31 | 153 | 224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 869 | 101 | 150 | 219 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 853 | 97 | 117 | 173 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 835 | 82 | 142 | 195 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 817 | 57 | 149 | 206 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 792 | 82 | 187 | 240 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 780 | 76 | 174 | 230 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 763 | 87 | 177 | 232 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 742 | 92 | 170 | 218 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 726 | 83 | 167 | 213 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 690 | 86 | 213 | 252 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 631 | 60 | 183 | 215 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 551 | 41 | 168 | 193 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 481 | 8 | 110 | 132 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 416 | -8 | 44 | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 367 | -36 | 21 | 41 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 394 | -5 | 23 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 406 | 19 | 52 | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 437 | 25 | 81 | 111 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 467 | 53 | 83 | 111 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 449 | 17 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 431 | -14 | N/A | 96 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 411 | -25 | N/A | 79 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 399 | -33 | N/A | 87 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 370 | -58 | N/A | 46 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 338 | 8 | N/A | 69 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 287 | -2 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 247 | -12 | N/A | 24 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 232 | 18 | N/A | 50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 231 | 29 | N/A | 44 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 204 | 11 | N/A | 57 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: VRRM's forecast earnings growth (11.5% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: VRRM's earnings (11.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: VRRM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: VRRM's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: VRRM's revenue (4.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: VRRM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (35.6%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 01:44 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Verra Mobility Corporation is covered by 13 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Koning | Baird |
| Ryan Cary | BofA Global Research |
| Daniel Moore | CJS Securities, Inc. |