Stock Analysis

Does Virco Mfg (NASDAQ:VIRC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NasdaqGM:VIRC
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Virco Mfg. Corporation (NASDAQ:VIRC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Virco Mfg

What Is Virco Mfg's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of January 2022, Virco Mfg had US$14.5m of debt, up from US$10.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$1.36m in cash, and so its net debt is US$13.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:VIRC Debt to Equity History May 5th 2022

How Healthy Is Virco Mfg's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Virco Mfg had liabilities of US$36.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$42.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.36m in cash and US$18.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$59.6m.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$44.9m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Virco Mfg can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Virco Mfg wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 21%, to US$185m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Virco Mfg still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost US$2.5m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$3.4m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Virco Mfg (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.