Stock Analysis

Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PESI) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%

NasdaqCM:PESI
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Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc. (NASDAQ:PESI) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 21% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Perma-Fix Environmental Services' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Perma-Fix Environmental Services

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PESI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024

What Does Perma-Fix Environmental Services' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for Perma-Fix Environmental Services has been in line with the industry. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. Those who are bullish on Perma-Fix Environmental Services will be hoping that revenue performance can pick up, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

Keen to find out how analysts think Perma-Fix Environmental Services' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Perma-Fix Environmental Services' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 20% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 4.2% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 10%.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Perma-Fix Environmental Services' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Perma-Fix Environmental Services' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Perma-Fix Environmental Services looks to be in line with the rest of the Commercial Services industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our check of Perma-Fix Environmental Services' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Perma-Fix Environmental Services you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Perma-Fix Environmental Services' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.