Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push HireQuest, Inc. (NASDAQ:HQI) Shares Up 28% But Growth Is Lacking

NasdaqCM:HQI
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HireQuest, Inc. (NASDAQ:HQI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 177% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider HireQuest as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for HireQuest as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for HireQuest

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NasdaqCM:HQI Price Based on Past Earnings November 16th 2021
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on HireQuest's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For HireQuest?

HireQuest's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 39% last year. EPS has also lifted 13% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that HireQuest is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On HireQuest's P/E

Shares in HireQuest have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of HireQuest revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware HireQuest is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HireQuest. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HireQuest might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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