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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Asure Software, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ASUR) 25% Share Price Surge
Asure Software, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASUR) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Asure Software is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.6x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Asure Software
How Asure Software Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Asure Software's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Asure Software.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Asure Software's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.6% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 61% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 14% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.5% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Asure Software's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Asure Software's P/S?
Asure Software's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Asure Software maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Professional Services industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Asure Software you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:ASUR
Asure Software
Engages in the provision of cloud-based Human Capital Management (HCM) software solutions in the United States.