Daimler Truck Holding AG

OTCPK:DTGH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$30.0b

Daimler Truck Holding Valuation

Is DTGH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DTGH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DTGH.F ($37.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($58.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DTGH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DTGH.F?

Key metric: As DTGH.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DTGH.F. This is calculated by dividing DTGH.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DTGH.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.5x
Earnings€3.35b
Market Cap€28.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DTGH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DTGH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies
33x16.4%US$34.9b
CMI Cummins
24.5x7.6%US$51.1b
PCAR PACCAR
13x-0.1%US$60.2b
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings
14.2x4.6%US$10.4b
DTGH.F Daimler Truck Holding
8.5x11.6%US$28.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DTGH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the peer average (21.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DTGH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AIRJ AirJoule Technologies
2xn/aUS$421.66m
CVGI Commercial Vehicle Group
2.9x-46.6%US$78.29m
FATH Fathom Digital Manufacturing
2.6xn/aUS$35.24m
ZEVY Lightning eMotors
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
DTGH.F 8.5xIndustry Avg. 25.7xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DTGH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DTGH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DTGH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.5x
Fair PE Ratio28.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DTGH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DTGH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$37.83
US$49.04
+29.6%
15.4%US$59.13US$36.96n/a17
Nov ’25US$39.98
US$51.07
+27.7%
14.9%US$60.97US$38.11n/a17
Oct ’25US$38.55
US$52.12
+35.2%
14.5%US$61.99US$38.74n/a18
Sep ’25US$38.18
US$53.25
+39.5%
12.7%US$61.89US$38.68n/a18
Aug ’25US$36.93
US$54.45
+47.5%
12.5%US$65.82US$37.77n/a18
Jul ’25US$40.01
US$55.97
+39.9%
12.8%US$65.15US$37.38n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
US$57.14
0%
12.9%US$68.11US$37.84n/a18
May ’25US$43.64
US$57.10
+30.8%
13.1%US$69.74US$37.55n/a18
Apr ’25US$49.32
US$55.73
+13.0%
15.6%US$69.82US$37.59n/a17
Mar ’25US$47.02
US$47.03
+0.02%
12.5%US$57.43US$33.59n/a17
Feb ’25US$35.93
US$47.04
+30.9%
12.5%US$57.68US$33.74n/a17
Jan ’25US$37.34
US$47.54
+27.3%
12.9%US$58.25US$34.07n/a17
Dec ’24US$32.38
US$47.08
+45.4%
12.4%US$58.00US$33.92n/a17
Nov ’24US$30.97
US$46.41
+49.9%
14.0%US$61.26US$32.74US$39.9818
Oct ’24US$34.45
US$46.78
+35.8%
14.0%US$61.83US$33.05US$38.5518
Sep ’24US$34.90
US$47.49
+36.1%
14.2%US$63.19US$33.78US$38.1817
Aug ’24US$37.54
US$47.91
+27.6%
14.3%US$62.96US$34.85US$36.9317
Jul ’24US$35.53
US$45.39
+27.8%
15.6%US$61.07US$33.81US$40.0116
Jun ’24US$30.05
US$43.98
+46.4%
15.7%US$59.85US$33.13n/a17
May ’24US$32.30
US$44.05
+36.4%
13.5%US$58.14US$34.01US$43.6417
Apr ’24US$33.42
US$43.54
+30.3%
13.2%US$57.80US$33.81US$49.3217
Mar ’24US$32.03
US$43.13
+34.7%
14.0%US$57.84US$33.83US$47.0216
Feb ’24US$34.50
US$43.13
+25.0%
14.0%US$57.84US$33.83US$35.9316
Jan ’24US$30.51
US$41.65
+36.5%
14.6%US$55.60US$32.52US$37.3416
Dec ’23US$32.62
US$41.11
+26.0%
14.9%US$55.22US$32.30US$32.3816
Nov ’23US$26.44
US$37.39
+41.4%
17.6%US$51.78US$25.40US$30.9715

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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