Stock Analysis

What Does Watsco, Inc.'s (NYSE:WSO) Share Price Indicate?

NYSE:WSO
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Watsco, Inc. (NYSE:WSO), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Watsco’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

See our latest analysis for Watsco

What's The Opportunity In Watsco?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 17% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Watsco today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $309.20, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. In addition to this, Watsco has a low beta, which suggests its share price is less volatile than the wider market.

What kind of growth will Watsco generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:WSO Earnings and Revenue Growth October 2nd 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 6.4% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Watsco, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in WSO’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on WSO, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into Watsco, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Watsco you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Watsco, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.