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At US$349, Is It Time To Put Watsco, Inc. (NYSE:WSO) On Your Watch List?
Let's talk about the popular Watsco, Inc. (NYSE:WSO). The company's shares received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$381 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$340. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Watsco's current trading price of US$349 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Watsco’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Watsco
What's The Opportunity In Watsco?
The stock is currently trading at US$349 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 27% compared to my intrinsic value of $275.80. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! In addition to this, it seems like Watsco’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What does the future of Watsco look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 11% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Watsco. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in WSO’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe WSO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on WSO for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for WSO, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that Watsco has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
If you are no longer interested in Watsco, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Watsco might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:WSO
Watsco
Engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.
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