Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) Even After 30% Share Price Boost

NYSE:TGLS
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Those holding Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may still consider Tecnoglass as an attractive investment with its 15.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Tecnoglass has been very sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Tecnoglass

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TGLS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Tecnoglass' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Tecnoglass' Growth Trending?

Tecnoglass' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.6% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 222% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.3% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Tecnoglass' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Tecnoglass' P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Tecnoglass' P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Tecnoglass currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tecnoglass you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tecnoglass might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.