Stock Analysis

Is Tecnoglass (NYSE:TGLS) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:TGLS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Tecnoglass

What Is Tecnoglass's Debt?

As you can see below, Tecnoglass had US$158.3m of debt at June 2024, down from US$190.2m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$136.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$21.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:TGLS Debt to Equity History October 12th 2024

How Healthy Is Tecnoglass' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tecnoglass had liabilities of US$212.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$154.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$136.7m in cash and US$203.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$27.6m.

Having regard to Tecnoglass' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$3.41b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Tecnoglass has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Tecnoglass has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.094 and EBIT of 24.0 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. In fact Tecnoglass's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 31% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tecnoglass's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Tecnoglass's free cash flow amounted to 30% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Tecnoglass's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Tecnoglass's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Tecnoglass's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.