Triumph Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:TGI) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Aerospace & Defense companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Triumph Group

How Triumph Group Has Been Performing

Triumph Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Triumph Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Triumph Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Triumph Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 33% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.4% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 8.3% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Triumph Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Triumph Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Triumph Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.