Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (NYSE:SSD) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Simpson Manufacturing Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Simpson Manufacturing had US$385.1m of debt in December 2024, down from US$481.3m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$239.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$145.7m.
A Look At Simpson Manufacturing's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Simpson Manufacturing had liabilities of US$366.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$564.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$239.4m as well as receivables valued at US$284.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$407.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Simpson Manufacturing shares are worth a total of US$6.61b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
View our latest analysis for Simpson Manufacturing
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Simpson Manufacturing has net debt of just 0.28 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. But the other side of the story is that Simpson Manufacturing saw its EBIT decline by 9.2% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Simpson Manufacturing's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Simpson Manufacturing produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Happily, Simpson Manufacturing's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Simpson Manufacturing can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Simpson Manufacturing insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:SSD
Simpson Manufacturing
Through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells structural solutions for wood, concrete, and steel connections in North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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