Stock Analysis

We Think SiteOne Landscape Supply (NYSE:SITE) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NYSE:SITE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (NYSE:SITE) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for SiteOne Landscape Supply

How Much Debt Does SiteOne Landscape Supply Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that SiteOne Landscape Supply had debt of US$448.0m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$562.9m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$50.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$397.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SITE Debt to Equity History June 6th 2024

How Healthy Is SiteOne Landscape Supply's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that SiteOne Landscape Supply had liabilities of US$670.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$837.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$50.2m as well as receivables valued at US$531.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$926.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, SiteOne Landscape Supply has a market capitalization of US$6.17b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 1.1 times EBITDA, SiteOne Landscape Supply is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.7 times, which is more than adequate. It is just as well that SiteOne Landscape Supply's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 22% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if SiteOne Landscape Supply can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, SiteOne Landscape Supply recorded free cash flow worth 64% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

SiteOne Landscape Supply's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about SiteOne Landscape Supply's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in SiteOne Landscape Supply, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.