Douglas Dynamics Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Douglas Dynamics has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 24.8%, while the Machinery industry saw earnings growing at 8.6% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 2.9% per year. Douglas Dynamics's return on equity is 19%, and it has net margins of 7.7%.
Key information
24.76%
Earnings growth rate
24.63%
EPS growth rate
| Machinery Industry Growth | 8.77% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.90% |
| Return on equity | 19.01% |
| Net Margin | 7.67% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 28
PLOW: Constructive 2026 Outlook And Q4 Update Will Support Further Upside
Analysts now frame Douglas Dynamics around a revised price target of about $48 to $50, up from prior levels in the mid $30s to high $30s. This reflects updated models after Q4 results and a view that the recent share rally has brought the stock closer to fair value.Narrative Update • Apr 11
PLOW: Constructive 2026 Outlook And Q4 Update Suggest Shares Are Fairly Priced
Analysts have lifted their price target range for Douglas Dynamics to about $48 to $50, up from $35 to $39. This reflects updated models after Q4 results and a view that the 2026 outlook is constructive while the recent share rally has brought the stock closer to fair value.Narrative Update • Mar 27
PLOW: 2026 Outlook And Q4 Revisions Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Douglas Dynamics into a $48 to $50 range, reflecting updated models after Q4 results and the view that the recent share move now places the stock closer to estimated fair value. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the updated Q4 models as supportive of a higher valuation range, which is reflected in price targets moving into the high $40s to $50 level.Narrative Update • Mar 13
PLOW: 2026 Outlook And Q4 Revisions Will Drive Bullish Repricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Douglas Dynamics to $50.50 from $48.25, citing updated models following recent quarterly results and a view that shares are now closer to fair value after the latest rally. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to updated models after Q4 results as support for higher valuation ranges, with targets such as $50 and $50.50 indicating more confidence in the company’s execution on its current plan.Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
Douglas Dynamics: I Should Have Upgraded This Play Sooner
Summary Douglas Dynamics delivered a 43.7% share price surge, driven by robust revenue and profit growth, especially in Q4 2025. 2025 saw significant gains in both Work Truck Attachments and Work Truck Solutions segments, fueled by strong snowfall and municipal demand. Management guides for 2026 sales of $710–$760 million, EBITDA of $100–$120 million, and adjusted EPS of $2.25–$2.85. PLOW is upgraded to a soft ‘buy’ as growth momentum and fair valuation outweigh concerns about recent multiple expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Feb 27
Municipal Demand And Replacement Cycle Tailwinds Will Support Stronger Long Term Prospects
Catalysts About Douglas Dynamics Douglas Dynamics designs and manufactures work truck attachments and solutions, including snow and ice control equipment and truck upfits for municipal and commercial customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Feb 26
PLOW: Q4 Revisions And Profitability Outlook Will Shape Future Share Performance
Analysts have raised their price target on Douglas Dynamics to $50 from $35, reflecting updated views on fair value, P/E multiples, and profitability following recent Q4 results and model revisions. Analyst Commentary Analysts updating their models after Q4 results are signaling a reassessment of Douglas Dynamics' fair value, with the new US$50 price target sitting meaningfully above the prior US$35 level.Analysis Article • Jan 08
Is There An Opportunity With Douglas Dynamics, Inc.'s (NYSE:PLOW) 29% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Douglas Dynamics is US$49.65 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • Dec 12
Douglas Dynamics (NYSE:PLOW) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.295
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. ( NYSE:PLOW ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.295 per share on the 31st of...Analysis Article • Sep 08
Douglas Dynamics (NYSE:PLOW) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.295
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. ( NYSE:PLOW ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.295 per share on the 30th of...Narrative Update • Aug 07
Operational Optimization And Tech Investment Will Navigate Milder Winters
With no material change in Douglas Dynamics’ net profit margin or consensus revenue growth forecasts, the analyst price target remains stable at $36.33. What's in the News Raised 2025 net sales guidance to $630–660 million from $610–650 million.Analysis Article • Jul 05
Douglas Dynamics (NYSE:PLOW) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Apr 18
No Flurry Of Optimism: Why I'm Downgrading Douglas Dynamics
Summary Douglas Dynamics' financial performance has been mixed, resulting in a 24.1% stock drop despite cheaper EV to EBITDA valuation and economic uncertainty, prompting a downgrade to 'hold'. The company’s revenue has declined from $616.1 million to $568.5 million over three years, with a significant drop in the Work Truck Attachments segment. Management forecasts higher 2025 sales between $610 million and $650 million, but economic and supply chain uncertainties could impact these projections. Rising steel prices and climate change pose significant risks to the business, affecting profit margins and long-term revenue from snow-related products. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Douglas Dynamics: Tactical Play With Heavy Snowfall Winter
Summary Douglas Dynamics is possibly poised for growth due to already heavy snowfall in the Northeast and Midwest, where snowfall drives plow and ice control product demand. PLOW expects around 5% YoY sales and EBITDA growth, supported by cost-saving measures and improved price realization, which may be conservative with last year's mild winter. Current stock prices are at 2016 levels, presenting a compelling buying opportunity with forward PEs potentially dropping to 16.5x or lower, assuming success in cost savings. We also think that based on past years when sales were at higher levels in more normal winters, forward PEs could be even more compressed and attractive. At the very least, prices are quite languished, and below the levels of last mild winter. Even on that tactical basis, it is interesting, though current dealer inventories are elevated. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 09
Douglas Dynamics' (NYSE:PLOW) Dividend Will Be $0.295
The board of Douglas Dynamics, Inc. ( NYSE:PLOW ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.295 per share on the...Analysis Article • Nov 06
Concerns Surrounding Douglas Dynamics' (NYSE:PLOW) Performance
The market shrugged off Douglas Dynamics, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PLOW ) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there...
New Narrative • Sep 24
Cost Savings And Tactical Alliances Propel Record Growth And Future Profitability
Strategic partnerships and expansions, including with John Deere, aim to enhance sales channels and customer bases, fostering revenue growth in key segments.Analysis Article • Sep 08
Douglas Dynamics (NYSE:PLOW) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.295
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. ( NYSE:PLOW ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.295 per share on the 30th of...Analysis Article • Jul 31
Douglas Dynamics' (NYSE:PLOW) Returns Have Hit A Wall
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a...Seeking Alpha • Jul 30
Douglas Dynamics Is Beginning To Prove Itself
Summary Douglas Dynamics, Inc. shares rose 5.5% after exceeding revenue, earnings, and adjusted earnings per share expectations in Q2 of fiscal year 2024. Despite a decline in revenue, the company's financial performance improved year over year, with higher earnings and cash flows reported. Management's guidance for the rest of the year suggests continued growth, making the stock look attractively priced on an absolute basis. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 17
Douglas Dynamics, Inc.'s (NYSE:PLOW) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
There wouldn't be many who think Douglas Dynamics, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PLOW ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.7x is...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Douglas Dynamics (NYSE:PLOW) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.295
The board of Douglas Dynamics, Inc. ( NYSE:PLOW ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.295 per share on the...Seeking Alpha • May 24
Douglas Dynamics: Market Leader Trading At Near-Trough Multiple On Depressed Earnings
Summary Due to weak demand caused by weather-related challenges, Douglas Dynamics is trading at depressed earnings and a near trough multiple. This is creating an opportunity to invest in a business with both a market-leading, stable, and cash-generative segment, and a segment with a history of consistent growth. I see a credible case for the stock to reach $35-$40 based on my estimates of FCF growth over the next few years and a 15-20x multiple. While these estimates are dependent on favorable weather conditions, I believe the Solutions segment will continue to grow due to commentary from other companies regarding demand from vocational trucking customers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 02
Douglas Dynamics: Priced For (Potentially) Attractive Returns
Summary Douglas Dynamics' stock price has declined by nearly half since the start of 2021 due to declining sales and EBITDA. The company's Work Truck Attachments segment has been affected by external headwinds, including lower snowfall levels, destocking, and macro headwinds. Should weather reverse course, and both their WTA and WTS segment maintain their margins, PLOW is priced to generate attractive IRRs for investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Douglas Dynamics makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 679 | 52 | 98 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 656 | 46 | 95 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 615 | 41 | 89 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 582 | 65 | 92 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 588 | 64 | 94 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 569 | 55 | 92 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 559 | 54 | 85 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 574 | 28 | 77 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 581 | 28 | 78 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 568 | 23 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 594 | 28 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 616 | 35 | 84 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 596 | 29 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 616 | 38 | 82 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 609 | 35 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 571 | 29 | 81 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 541 | 26 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 541 | 30 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 547 | 40 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 553 | 42 | 75 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 515 | -76 | 69 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 480 | -87 | 67 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 482 | -93 | 75 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 490 | -90 | 76 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 547 | 39 | 79 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 572 | 49 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 563 | 52 | 71 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 546 | 49 | 70 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 533 | 45 | 72 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 524 | 43 | 71 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 510 | 63 | 71 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 511 | 62 | 68 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 487 | 56 | 64 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 475 | 55 | 63 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 467 | 30 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 465 | 28 | 61 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 440 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 416 | 38 | 51 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 405 | 43 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 402 | 52 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 395 | 48 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 400 | 44 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 382 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 340 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: PLOW has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: PLOW's current net profit margins (7.7%) are lower than last year (10.8%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: PLOW has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 24.8% per year.
Accelerating Growth: PLOW's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: PLOW had negative earnings growth (-18.1%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Machinery industry average (1.6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: PLOW's Return on Equity (19%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 01:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Timothy Wojs | Baird |
| Jason Ursaner | CJS Securities, Inc. |
| Ryan Sigdahl | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |