Orion Group Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Orion Group Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 74.8% and 6.9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 72.7% per annum.
Key information
74.8%
Earnings growth rate
72.74%
EPS growth rate
| Construction earnings growth | 25.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.9% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 03 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • Aug 06
Orion Group Holdings' (NYSE:ORN) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
The latest earnings report from Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and...Seeking Alpha • Aug 02
Orion Group Holdings: Rising Costs And Client Delays Have Me Worried
Summary Orion Group Holdings is rated Sell due to disappointing Q2 results, margin pressure, and negative market sentiment. Rising COGS, flat backlog growth YoY, and low single-digit revenue growth highlight structural unprofitability for ORN. Concrete segment shows volume-driven growth tied to AI/data center demand, but pricing and import reliance pose risks. Marine backlog growth is insufficient to offset margin erosion; sustained cost pressures could warrant a Strong Sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 01
Earnings Miss: Orion Group Holdings, Inc. Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
There's been a major selloff in Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) shares in the week since it released its...
Narrative Update • Jul 30
ORN: Officer Exculpation And 2026 Guidance Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have lowered their price target for Orion Group Holdings from $17.28 to $15.40, reflecting revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in their valuation analysis. What’s in the News for Orion Group Holdings Orion Group Holdings issued revised guidance for the year ending December 31, 2026, with revenue expected in the range of US$900 million to US$950 million and net income projected between US$6,600,000 and US$10,600,000.
Narrative Update • Jul 03
ORN: Index Removals And Updated Assumptions Will Shape A Fair Outlook
The analyst price target for Orion Group Holdings has increased from $11.50 to $16.40. Analysts attribute the change to updated fair value estimates, a revised discount rate, and refreshed assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Jun 19
ORN: Officer Exculpation Changes And 2026 Guidance Will Shape Stock Outlook
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Orion Group Holdings from $17.50 to $17.28, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple in their valuation work. What’s in the News for Orion Group Holdings Orion Group Holdings held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 19, 2026, where stockholders approved an amendment to the company’s Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to expand exculpation protections to officers, as permitted by Delaware law.Analysis Article • Jun 17
Does Orion Group Holdings (NYSE:ORN) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Narrative Update • Jun 02
ORN: New Contract Awards And 2026 Guidance Will Drive Further Upside
Analysts now cite updated fair value and P/E assumptions in their models for Orion Group Holdings, with the average price target moving from $16.75 to $17.50. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings reaffirmed full year 2026 guidance, with revenue projected in a range of US$900 million to US$950 million and net income expected between US$11,500,000 and US$15,300,000 (Corporate Guidance).Narrative Update • May 12
ORN: New Contract Wins And 2026 Outlook Will Drive Further Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on Orion Group Holdings by $0.93 per share to $16.75, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, discount rates and future P/E that keep their fair value estimate aligned with the current target level. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings reaffirmed full year 2026 guidance, projecting revenue between $900 million and $950 million and net income of $11,500,000 to $15,300,000 (Company guidance).Narrative Update • Apr 25
ORN: New Contract Awards And 2026 Guidance Will Support Further Upside
Analysts have kept their $16.75 price target for Orion Group Holdings unchanged, citing only fine tuning of assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, rather than any shift in the overall valuation view. What's in the News At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 19, 2026, Orion Group Holdings plans to ask shareholders to approve an amendment to its Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to limit officer liability as permitted by law (Changes in Company Bylaws/Rules).Narrative Update • Apr 10
ORN: New Contract Wins And 2026 Earnings Guidance Will Drive Upside
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Orion Group Holdings to $16.75 from $16.40, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that only slightly adjust the risk and return profile. What's in the News At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders scheduled for May 19, 2026, Orion Group Holdings is proposing an amendment to its Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation to limit the liability of officers as permitted by law (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 27
ORN: New Coastal Contracts And 2026 Outlook Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $16.40 price target for Orion Group Holdings, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, a modestly different revenue growth outlook, a lower projected profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings announced new contract awards and change orders with a total value of over US$125 million through February 28, 2026, with contributions from both Marine and Concrete segments.Narrative Update • Mar 11
ORN: Coastal Contract Awards Will Support Future Earnings And Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their price target on Orion Group Holdings from $15.90 to $16.40, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a lower discount rate, a reduced profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings issued earnings guidance for the full year ending December 31, 2026, with expected revenue in the range of $900m to $950m and net income between $11.5m and $15.3m (company guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 23
ORN: Coastal Contract And Selective Acquisitions Will Support Future Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orion Group Holdings higher, with fair value moving from $15.63 to $15.90. This change is supported by updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E.Narrative Update • Feb 09
ORN: Coastal Contract And Selective Acquisitions Will Support Steady Earnings Outlook
Analysts now place their price target for Orion Group Holdings at a fair value of $15.63, up from $13.13, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue, profit margins and the future P/E multiple. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings plans to continue pursuing acquisitions, focusing on targets that align with its company culture, overall strategy and desired growth profile, according to comments from President and CEO Travis Boone on the Orion Acquisition Conference Call (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 03
Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:ORN) Shares Bounce 29% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Narrative Update • Jan 26
ORN: Coastal Project Awards Will Support Steady Earnings And Fair Valuation
Analysts have lifted their price target on Orion Group Holdings from about $12.17 to roughly $13.13, citing updated assumptions that include slightly lower discount rates, higher revenue growth, improved profit margins and a reduced forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings reported an $86.3 million contract award from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to build new breakwaters and replenish shorelines with about one million cubic yards of beach quality dredged material along the Texas coastline at the mouth of the Colorado River, with work expected to begin in the first quarter of 2026 (Key Developments).New Narrative • Jan 23
Pacific Defense Infrastructure Delays Will Temper Data Center Tailwinds Over The Next Decade
Catalysts About Orion Group Holdings Orion Group Holdings is a specialty construction company focused on marine infrastructure projects and commercial concrete work across the U.S. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective? Although Orion is seeing strong interest in Pacific military infrastructure, the timing of large INDOPACOM and PDI MACC task orders has already shifted out by about a year.Narrative Update • Jan 11
ORN: Coastal Contract Wins Will Support Higher Revenue Guidance And Earnings
Analysts have kept their price target for Orion Group Holdings broadly unchanged at about $12.17. This reflects only minor tweaks to their discount rate and future P/E assumptions rather than any major shift in their outlook.Narrative Update • Dec 16
ORN: Strong Project Pipeline Will Drive Higher Revenue Guidance And Earnings
Analysts have nudged their price target for Orion Group Holdings modestly higher to approximately $12.17 per share, citing slightly lower perceived risk and steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Raised full year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $825 million to $860 million, up from the prior $800 million to $850 million range (company guidance) Reaffirmed expectations for positive net income in 2025, projecting between $1.77 million and $4.60 million for the fiscal year (company guidance) Signaled increased confidence in project pipeline and execution, framing the higher 2025 outlook as driven by stronger demand visibility and operational performance (company guidance) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate is unchanged at approximately $12.17 per share, indicating a stable intrinsic value assessment.Narrative Update • Dec 02
ORN: Upcoming Contract Awards Will Drive Future Earnings Momentum
Analysts have maintained their price target for Orion Group Holdings at $12.17, citing consistency in expected revenue growth and profitability metrics as the primary rationale for holding steady. What's in the News Orion Group Holdings raised its revenue guidance for fiscal year 2025 to a range of $825 million to $860 million, up from the prior range of $800 million to $850 million.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Is Orion Group Holdings (NYSE:ORN) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Nov 18
ORN: New Contract Wins Are Expected To Drive Earnings Higher
Analysts have modestly maintained their price target for Orion Group Holdings at $12.17 per share, citing minor adjustments to discount rate and profit margin expectations. These changes slightly tempered their outlook despite stable revenue growth projections.Analysis Article • Nov 06
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Orion Group Holdings' (NYSE:ORN) Earnings
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a...Narrative Update • Nov 02
ORN: New Contract Wins And Margin Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Orion Group Holdings Sees Analyst Price Target Raised Following Improved Profit Margin Outlook Analysts have increased their price target for Orion Group Holdings from $11.13 to $12.17 per share. This change is supported by expectations for a stronger profit margin and a lower discount rate, even as revenue growth projections moderate.Analysis Article • Oct 31
There's No Escaping Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:ORN) Muted Revenues Despite A 36% Share Price Rise
Despite an already strong run, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36...Analysis Article • Aug 29
Is There Now An Opportunity In Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN)?
While Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share...Analysis Article • Jul 13
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
When close to half the companies operating in the Construction industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios...New Narrative • May 31
US Shipbuilding And Sunbelt Construction Trends Will Unlock Opportunities
Federal investment in shipbuilding and infrastructure, along with data center growth, is expanding Orion's project pipeline and supporting higher order activity across key segments.Analysis Article • May 08
We Take A Look At Why Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:ORN) CEO Has Earned Their Pay Packet
Key Insights Orion Group Holdings to hold its Annual General Meeting on 15th of May Total pay for CEO Travis Boone...Analysis Article • Apr 01
Little Excitement Around Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:ORN) Revenues As Shares Take 27% Pounding
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...Seeking Alpha • Mar 07
Orion Group Has 3 Large Markets To Service, Can They Drive Its Growth?
Summary Orion Group Holdings, Inc. is poised for substantial growth, driven by large-scale data center construction and US Navy projects. Orion's backlog slightly declined to $729mm, but the new business pipeline surged to $16b, indicating more project opportunities. Management is focused on selective bidding for stronger margins. ORN shares trade at a significant discount when considering its historical trading premiums. This may allow for significant upside potential as the firm executes on its growth initiatives. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 11
Further Upside For Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ORN) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 36% Bounce
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:ORN ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,047 | N/A | 35 | 60 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,003 | 12 | 35 | 58 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 930 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 6 |
| 6/30/2026 | 897 | 4 | -18 | 24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 880 | 9 | -2 | 36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 852 | 2 | -11 | 28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 836 | 9 | -1 | 28 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 837 | 10 | 18 | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 824 | 3 | 11 | 32 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 796 | -2 | -1 | 13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 781 | -13 | 32 | 45 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 723 | -18 | -20 | -9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 713 | -11 | -11 | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 712 | -18 | 8 | 17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 706 | -18 | -39 | -28 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 721 | -18 | -25 | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 733 | -20 | -16 | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 748 | -13 | -5 | 10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 714 | -16 | -11 | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 672 | -27 | -20 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 623 | -20 | -18 | 1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 601 | -15 | -17 | 0 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 609 | -2 | -5 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 659 | 20 | 10 | 24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 697 | 18 | 26 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 710 | 20 | 31 | 46 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 740 | 17 | 26 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 750 | 9 | 19 | 33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 732 | 5 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 708 | -5 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 608 | -100 | N/A | 25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 533 | -110 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 527 | -106 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 521 | -94 | N/A | 22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 584 | 10 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 599 | 11 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 577 | 6 | N/A | 34 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 579 | 0 | N/A | 34 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 561 | -15 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 584 | -6 | N/A | 33 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 587 | -4 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 578 | -4 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 596 | 4 | N/A | 41 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 569 | -8 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 515 | -9 | N/A | 16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 466 | -8 | N/A | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 412 | -4 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORN's forecast earnings growth (74.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: ORN's earnings (74.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: ORN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ORN's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ORN's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ORN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/16 22:34 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Liam Burke | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Robert Burleson | Canaccord Genuity |
| Jonathan Tanwanteng | CJS Securities, Inc. |