Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:ORN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$294.5m

Orion Group Holdings Valuation

Is ORN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORN ($7.57) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORN?

Key metric: As ORN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ORN. This is calculated by dividing ORN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ORN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$781.11m
Market CapUS$294.48m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ORN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ORN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings
0.7x0.4%US$293.9m
MTRX Matrix Service
0.5x21.9%US$345.0m
NETI Eneti
2.7x23.6%US$415.0m
NWPX Northwest Pipe
1.1x1.2%US$528.2m
ORN Orion Group Holdings
0.4x7.6%US$294.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ORN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ORN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Construction Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLND Southland Holdings
0.1x3.3%US$143.35m
SHIM Shimmick
0.1x-3.2%US$71.21m
VATE INNOVATE
0.04xn/aUS$52.66m
SGBX Safe & Green Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$1.36m
ORN 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies8PS012345+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ORN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Construction industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ORN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$7.57
US$11.33
+49.7%
16.6%US$14.00US$10.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$6.30
US$11.33
+79.9%
16.6%US$14.00US$10.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$5.79
US$10.67
+84.2%
22.1%US$14.00US$9.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$7.56
US$12.00
+58.7%
11.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$7.79
US$12.00
+54.0%
11.8%US$14.00US$11.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$8.60
US$12.17
+41.5%
13.6%US$14.00US$10.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$10.78
US$10.88
+0.9%
16.7%US$14.00US$9.50n/a4
May ’25US$7.40
US$9.83
+32.9%
2.4%US$10.00US$9.50n/a3
Apr ’25US$8.75
US$9.83
+12.4%
2.4%US$10.00US$9.50n/a3
Mar ’25US$6.67
US$7.42
+11.2%
11.1%US$8.00US$6.25n/a3
Feb ’25US$5.89
US$6.75
+14.6%
13.2%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$4.94
US$6.75
+36.6%
13.2%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$4.85
US$6.75
+39.2%
13.2%US$8.00US$6.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$4.69
US$6.75
+43.9%
13.2%US$8.00US$6.00US$6.303
Oct ’24US$5.36
US$6.33
+18.2%
19.7%US$8.00US$5.00US$5.793
Sep ’24US$4.69
US$5.33
+13.7%
8.8%US$6.00US$5.00US$7.563
Aug ’24US$3.75
US$5.33
+42.2%
8.8%US$6.00US$5.00US$7.793
Jul ’24US$2.81
US$4.67
+66.1%
26.7%US$6.00US$3.00US$8.603
Jun ’24US$2.45
US$4.33
+76.9%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$10.783
May ’24US$2.50
US$4.33
+73.3%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$7.403
Apr ’24US$2.59
US$4.33
+67.3%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$8.753
Mar ’24US$2.74
US$4.33
+58.2%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$6.673
Feb ’24US$2.86
US$4.33
+51.5%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$5.893
Jan ’24US$2.38
US$4.33
+82.1%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$4.943
Dec ’23US$2.57
US$4.33
+68.6%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$4.853
Nov ’23US$2.26
US$4.33
+91.7%
28.8%US$6.00US$3.00US$4.693

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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