Stock Analysis

Energy Vault Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:NRGV) Shares Leap 31% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NYSE:NRGV
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Those holding Energy Vault Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:NRGV) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.9% isn't as impressive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Energy Vault Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electrical industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Energy Vault Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:NRGV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 9th 2023

How Energy Vault Holdings Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Energy Vault Holdings as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Energy Vault Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Energy Vault Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Energy Vault Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. In spite of this unbelievable short-term growth, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 90% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 58% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Energy Vault Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Energy Vault Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Energy Vault Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Energy Vault Holdings you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Energy Vault Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.