Stock Analysis

We Think Mueller Water Products (NYSE:MWA) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

NYSE:MWA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Mueller Water Products, Inc. (NYSE:MWA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Mueller Water Products

What Is Mueller Water Products's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Mueller Water Products had US$447.0m of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$338.2m in cash, and so its net debt is US$108.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MWA Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2025

A Look At Mueller Water Products' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mueller Water Products had liabilities of US$220.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$564.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$338.2m as well as receivables valued at US$149.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$297.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Mueller Water Products has a market capitalization of US$3.96b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Mueller Water Products has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.38. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 21.0 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Mueller Water Products grew its EBIT by 73% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Mueller Water Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Mueller Water Products produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 58% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Mueller Water Products's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Mueller Water Products is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. Another factor that would give us confidence in Mueller Water Products would be if insiders have been buying shares: if you're conscious of that signal too, you can find out instantly by clicking this link.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:MWA

Mueller Water Products

Manufactures and markets products and services for the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water used by municipalities, and the residential and non-residential construction industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.