Stock Analysis

Is MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:MSM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for MSC Industrial Direct

How Much Debt Does MSC Industrial Direct Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MSC Industrial Direct had debt of US$453.9m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$793.4m over a year. However, it also had US$50.1m in cash, and so its net debt is US$403.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSM Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2023

A Look At MSC Industrial Direct's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that MSC Industrial Direct had liabilities of US$649.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$402.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$50.1m in cash and US$435.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$566.1m.

Of course, MSC Industrial Direct has a market capitalization of US$5.42b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

MSC Industrial Direct's net debt is only 0.71 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 22.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, MSC Industrial Direct grew its EBIT by 3.8% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MSC Industrial Direct's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, MSC Industrial Direct produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

MSC Industrial Direct's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Zooming out, MSC Industrial Direct seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for MSC Industrial Direct that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.