Stock Analysis

Here's Why MSC Industrial Direct (NYSE:MSM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:MSM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (NYSE:MSM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MSC Industrial Direct

How Much Debt Does MSC Industrial Direct Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of November 2021, MSC Industrial Direct had US$760.7m of debt, up from US$486.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had US$62.9m in cash, and so its net debt is US$697.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MSM Debt to Equity History January 18th 2022

How Strong Is MSC Industrial Direct's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, MSC Industrial Direct had liabilities of US$586.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$717.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$62.9m as well as receivables valued at US$578.7m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$661.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given MSC Industrial Direct has a market capitalization of US$4.76b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that MSC Industrial Direct's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.5), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 25.7 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Fortunately, MSC Industrial Direct grew its EBIT by 6.1% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine MSC Industrial Direct's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, MSC Industrial Direct produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

MSC Industrial Direct's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that MSC Industrial Direct takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for MSC Industrial Direct you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:MSM

MSC Industrial Direct

Engages in the distribution of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.