Stock Analysis

Moog (NYSE:MOG.A) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.27

NYSE:MOG.A
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Moog Inc. (NYSE:MOG.A) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 6th of March to $0.27. This takes the annual payment to 1.2% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

Check out our latest analysis for Moog

Moog's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Prior to this announcement, Moog's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 45.4%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 16%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MOG.A Historic Dividend February 6th 2023

Moog Is Still Building Its Track Record

Moog's dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. The annual payment during the last 5 years was $1.00 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $1.08. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 1.6% per annum over that time. We like that the dividend hasn't been shrinking. However we're conscious that the company hasn't got an overly long track record of dividend payments yet, which makes us wary of relying on its dividend income.

Moog Could Grow Its Dividend

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Moog has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 9.2% per annum. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Moog's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Moog's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Moog (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Moog not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.