Stock Analysis

Miller Industries' (NYSE:MLR) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

NYSE:MLR
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The subdued market reaction suggests that Miller Industries, Inc.'s (NYSE:MLR) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

Check out our latest analysis for Miller Industries

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:MLR Earnings and Revenue History August 11th 2022

A Closer Look At Miller Industries' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2022, Miller Industries recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of US$12.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through US$51m in the last year. We saw that FCF was US$28m a year ago though, so Miller Industries has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Miller Industries.

Our Take On Miller Industries' Profit Performance

Miller Industries' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Miller Industries' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Miller Industries you should be mindful of and 2 of these can't be ignored.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Miller Industries' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.