Stock Analysis

MDU Resources Group's (NYSE:MDU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:MDU
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MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:MDU) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.13 on 1st of October. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 2.7%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for MDU Resources Group

MDU Resources Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, MDU Resources Group's dividend was only 25% of earnings, however it was paying out 475% of free cash flows. While the business may be attempting to set a balanced dividend policy, a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 6.6% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 24%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MDU Historic Dividend September 4th 2024

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.71 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.695. Payments have been decreasing at a very slow pace in this time period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

MDU Resources Group Could Grow Its Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that MDU Resources Group has been growing its earnings per share at 6.6% a year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for MDU Resources Group's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While MDU Resources Group is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for MDU Resources Group that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.