Stock Analysis

Does Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:LMT
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lockheed Martin

What Is Lockheed Martin's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Lockheed Martin had US$17.5b of debt, an increase on US$11.6b, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$3.67b in cash leading to net debt of about US$13.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:LMT Debt to Equity History August 7th 2023

A Look At Lockheed Martin's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Lockheed Martin had liabilities of US$17.7b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$30.0b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.67b and US$16.4b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$27.6b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Lockheed Martin is worth a massive US$112.2b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Lockheed Martin's net debt is only 1.3 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Lockheed Martin has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Lockheed Martin can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Lockheed Martin produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Lockheed Martin's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its interest cover also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Lockheed Martin's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Lockheed Martin , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.