Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Terran Orbital Corporation (NYSE:LLAP) Even After 34% Share Price Boost

NYSE:LLAP
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Terran Orbital Corporation (NYSE:LLAP) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies operating in the United States' Aerospace & Defense industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2x, you may still consider Terran Orbital as an attractive investment with its 1.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Terran Orbital

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LLAP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 22nd 2023

What Does Terran Orbital's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Terran Orbital as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Terran Orbital will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Terran Orbital's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Terran Orbital would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 86%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 93% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 8.2% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Terran Orbital's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Terran Orbital's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Terran Orbital's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Terran Orbital (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Terran Orbital is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.