Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (NYSE:JELD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for JELD-WEN Holding
What Is JELD-WEN Holding's Debt?
As you can see below, JELD-WEN Holding had US$1.15b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$208.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$938.2m.
A Look At JELD-WEN Holding's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, JELD-WEN Holding had liabilities of US$693.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.42b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$208.5m as well as receivables valued at US$491.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$655.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, JELD-WEN Holding would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
JELD-WEN Holding shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.0), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.89 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, JELD-WEN Holding's EBIT was down 72% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JELD-WEN Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, JELD-WEN Holding recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
To be frank both JELD-WEN Holding's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that JELD-WEN Holding really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that JELD-WEN Holding is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:JELD
JELD-WEN Holding
Designs, manufactures, and sells wood, metal, and composite materials doors, windows, and related building products in North America and Europe.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.