When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) as an attractive investment with its 15.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Griffon as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Griffon
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Griffon's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 148% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 16% each year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it odd that Griffon is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Griffon's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Griffon's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Griffon that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.