Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With GATX's (NYSE:GATX) Returns On Capital

NYSE:GATX
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at GATX (NYSE:GATX) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on GATX is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.033 = US$318m ÷ (US$9.9b - US$213m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

So, GATX has an ROCE of 3.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Trade Distributors industry average of 16%.

Check out our latest analysis for GATX

roce
NYSE:GATX Return on Capital Employed January 6th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for GATX compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

The Trend Of ROCE

In terms of GATX's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 4.7% over the last five years. However it looks like GATX might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

In Conclusion...

To conclude, we've found that GATX is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 83% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

GATX does have some risks, we noticed 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

While GATX may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.