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Revenues Working Against GrafTech International Ltd.'s (NYSE:EAF) Share Price Following 29% Dive
To the annoyance of some shareholders, GrafTech International Ltd. (NYSE:EAF) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 20% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, GrafTech International's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electrical industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for GrafTech International
What Does GrafTech International's Recent Performance Look Like?
GrafTech International hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think GrafTech International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is GrafTech International's Revenue Growth Trending?
GrafTech International's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 60% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 24% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why GrafTech International's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On GrafTech International's P/S
GrafTech International's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Electrical companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of GrafTech International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for GrafTech International you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EAF
GrafTech International
Research, develops, manufactures, and sells graphite and carbon-based solutions worldwide.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.
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