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Carlisle Companies (CSL): Evaluating Long-Term Value After Recent Share Price Volatility

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Carlisle Companies (CSL) is having a year where its stock performance stands out for long-term investors. Despite some short-term volatility, the recent moves in CSL raise questions about how this industrial player is valuing growth and profitability.
See our latest analysis for Carlisle Companies.
This year, Carlisle Companies' share price has dipped slightly, yet the stock’s five-year total shareholder return of 173% shows longer-term investors are still well ahead. Recent price movements hint that market momentum has cooled for now, but the overall trend highlights Carlisle’s ability to generate value over the long run.
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With Carlisle trading about 11% below its estimated intrinsic value and analysts setting targets well above current prices, investors must weigh whether recent weakness signals a buying opportunity or if expectations are already reflected in the price.
Most Popular Narrative: 18.6% Undervalued
With the narrative's fair value at $407.71 and Carlisle's last close at $331.95, this creates a substantial gap between expectations and market price. Investors, analysts and shareholders alike will be watching closely to see if the fundamentals justify such a premium.
Operational efficiencies, strategic acquisitions, and policy support are positioning Carlisle for sustained margin expansion and accelerated long-term growth. However, persistent market softness, pricing pressures, and dependence on reroofing make Carlisle vulnerable to margin compression and revenue risk, despite ongoing internal efficiency efforts.
What are analysts banking on to reach this valuation? The answer lies in bold margin expansion targets and expectations for durable, recurring revenue. Curious which long-term bets and industry shifts are fueling that analyst optimism? Get the inside story before the next move shocks the market.
Result: Fair Value of $407.71 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, persistent end-market weakness and limited pricing power could pressure Carlisle’s revenue growth and margins. This may challenge the optimism behind current analyst forecasts.
Find out about the key risks to this Carlisle Companies narrative.
Build Your Own Carlisle Companies Narrative
If you see the data from a different angle or want to run your own analysis, you can easily craft a unique research story in just a few minutes with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Carlisle Companies research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:CSL
Carlisle Companies
Operates as a manufacturer and supplier of building envelope products and solutions in the United States, Europe, North America, and internationally.
Undervalued average dividend payer.
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