Stock Analysis

Carlisle Companies (CSL): Assessing Valuation Following Recent Share Price Volatility

Carlisle Companies (CSL) shares have experienced some notable swings over the past 3 months, dropping by 23%. Many investors are watching closely to see if this period of volatility presents opportunities or signals deeper challenges.

See our latest analysis for Carlisle Companies.

Despite a challenging stretch that saw the share price fall by nearly a quarter over three months, Carlisle Companies’ recent momentum suggests sentiment may be stabilizing compared to much steeper losses earlier in the year. Looking at the bigger picture, the company’s 1-year total shareholder return is down 27%. Those who held on for the long haul have seen a 191% gain over five years, highlighting why short-term swings don’t always define the story.

If these moves have you thinking about where opportunities might pop up next, now could be a perfect moment to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With shares now trading about 16% below their estimated fair value and recent results showing steady growth, investors are left to wonder if this is a compelling entry point or already a reflection of all future upside.

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Most Popular Narrative: 13.7% Undervalued

Carlisle Companies is trading at $331.72, which is below the narrative’s fair value estimate of $384.29. The spread between price and value stands out, and the narrative’s underlying assumptions reveal why.

“The substantial size and resilience of the commercial reroofing market, supported by a multiyear backlog and aging building stock, positions Carlisle for reliable and recurring revenue growth even amid short-term volatility in new construction activity. This drives steady revenue and margin stability.”

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what powers this optimistic outlook? The narrative leans heavily on a foundation of strong market demand, strategic investments, and margin expansion. There is one surprising growth expectation inside that could make all the difference to Carlisle’s future, and it is not what you’d expect. See for yourself in the full narrative.

Result: Fair Value of $384.29 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent end-market challenges and weaker pricing power could pressure Carlisle’s margins and growth outlook if softness in construction demand continues.

Find out about the key risks to this Carlisle Companies narrative.

Build Your Own Carlisle Companies Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to explore the data firsthand, you can create your own narrative and test your thesis in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Carlisle Companies research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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