Stock Analysis

Carrier Global (NYSE:CARR) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.19

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NYSE:CARR

The board of Carrier Global Corporation (NYSE:CARR) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.19 per share on the 18th of November. This payment means the dividend yield will be 0.9%, which is below the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Carrier Global

Carrier Global's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Before making this announcement, Carrier Global was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 13.2%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 30%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

NYSE:CARR Historic Dividend October 14th 2024

Carrier Global Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend has been pretty stable looking back, but the company hasn't been paying one for very long. This makes it tough to judge how it would fare through a full economic cycle. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was $0.32, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $0.76. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 24% per annum over that time. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.

Carrier Global Could Grow Its Dividend

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Carrier Global has impressed us by growing EPS at 8.9% per year over the past five years. With a decent amount of growth and a low payout ratio, we think this bodes well for Carrier Global's prospects of growing its dividend payments in the future.

Carrier Global Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In summary, it is good to see that the dividend is staying consistent, and we don't think there is any reason to suspect this might change over the medium term. The distributions are easily covered by earnings, and there is plenty of cash being generated as well. We should point out that the earnings are expected to fall over the next 12 months, which won't be a problem if this doesn't become a trend, but could cause some turbulence in the next year. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Carrier Global (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.