Can Carrier Global's (CARR) Reaffirmed Sales Guidance Outweigh Mixed Earnings Trends for Investors?

• Carrier Global Corporation recently reported its second quarter and half-year results, with revenue rising to US$6.11 billion and US$11.33 billion, respectively, compared to the same periods last year, while also reaffirming its 2025 sales guidance at US$23 billion.
• An important detail from the report is that basic earnings per share from continuing operations increased year-over-year, despite a significant drop in total net income for both the quarter and the first half of 2025.
• We will explore how Carrier’s reaffirmed sales outlook, despite varied earnings trends, now shapes its overall investment narrative going forward.

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Carrier Global Investment Narrative Recap

To believe in Carrier Global as a shareholder, you need to trust in its vision of leading intelligent climate and energy solutions worldwide, driven by product innovation and expansion into high-growth segments like data center cooling. The recent reaffirmation of US$23 billion in 2025 sales guidance, alongside higher revenue, indicates the short-term demand environment remains stable; however, ongoing margin challenges and regional weaknesses persist as key risks, and nothing in the latest report materially shifts these near-term dynamics.

Among several notable company developments, Carrier’s filing of a US$1.36 billion common stock shelf registration stands out. While not directly impacting the immediate revenue or earnings catalysts, it enables greater financial flexibility, which can influence how Carrier manages growth opportunities or addresses balance sheet risks moving forward.

In contrast, investors should be aware that ongoing tariff exposures and delicate regional performance remain risks that could...

Read the full narrative on Carrier Global (it's free!)

Carrier Global's narrative projects $26.6 billion revenue and $3.0 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.8% yearly revenue growth and a $1.5 billion increase in earnings from $1.5 billion today.

Uncover how Carrier Global's forecasts yield a $83.63 fair value, a 22% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Four members of the Simply Wall St Community provided fair value estimates for Carrier Global, ranging from US$26.44 to US$50,066.89. While opinions widely differ, attention is centered on Carrier’s reaffirmed sales outlook and whether regional sales softness could affect momentum going forward.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Carrier Global - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!

Build Your Own Carrier Global Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your Carrier Global research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free Carrier Global research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Carrier Global's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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