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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Bloom Energy Corporation's (NYSE:BE) Shares
There wouldn't be many who think Bloom Energy Corporation's (NYSE:BE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Electrical industry in the United States is similar at about 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Bloom Energy
How Has Bloom Energy Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Bloom Energy has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bloom Energy.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Bloom Energy's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 34% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 70% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 30% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 62% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Bloom Energy's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of Bloom Energy's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Bloom Energy that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bloom Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BE
Bloom Energy
Designs, manufactures, sells, and installs solid-oxide fuel cell systems for on-site power generation in the United States and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.