Bloom Energy (BE): Reassessing Valuation After a Volatile Year and Sharp Three-Month Rebound
Bloom Energy (BE) has quietly become a magnet for investors trying to make sense of volatile clean-energy names, especially after wild swings over the past month and a strong rebound in the past 3 months.
See our latest analysis for Bloom Energy.
Despite a choppy year that included a steep 30 day share price return of minus 28.0 percent, Bloom Energy has staged a powerful comeback, with a 90 day share price return of 86.7 percent and a 1 year total shareholder return of 290.0 percent suggesting that momentum and risk appetite are rebuilding.
If Bloom Energy’s surge has you rethinking where growth could come from next, it might be worth scanning high growth tech and AI stocks for other tech driven names with structural tailwinds.
With explosive returns, double digit revenue growth, and shares still trading below some valuation estimates, is Bloom Energy now a rare mispriced clean tech winner, or is the market already baking in years of future growth?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 8.9% Undervalued
With Bloom Energy last closing at $102.50 against a most popular narrative fair value of $112.50, the story hinges on aggressive growth and profitability assumptions.
Ongoing product cost reductions and digital twin enabled operational improvements, fueled by AI driven analytics from a large installed base, are lowering cost per watt and raising manufacturing efficiency, poised to drive continued operating margin and net margin expansion.
Curious how much faster revenues must grow, how far margins need to expand, and which future earnings multiple underpins that valuation? The answers might surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $112.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, rapid advances in zero emissions rivals and any stumble in Bloom’s manufacturing expansion could quickly undermine these upbeat growth and margin assumptions.
Find out about the key risks to this Bloom Energy narrative.
Another Lens on Value
While the narrative and analyst targets suggest Bloom Energy is around 8.9 percent undervalued, the market is paying a steep 13.3 times sales, versus 2.8 times for peers and a fair ratio of 8.6 times. That gap signals real valuation risk if growth expectations slip, or upside if they are met.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Bloom Energy Narrative
If you see the story differently, or want to stress test the assumptions yourself, you can build a personalized Bloom Energy narrative in minutes, Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Bloom Energy research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bloom Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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