Stock Analysis

Armstrong World Industries (NYSE:AWI) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NYSE:AWI
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (NYSE:AWI) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Armstrong World Industries

What Is Armstrong World Industries's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Armstrong World Industries had debt of US$590.1m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from US$651.1m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$71.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$518.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AWI Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

A Look At Armstrong World Industries' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Armstrong World Industries had liabilities of US$194.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$886.1m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$71.9m as well as receivables valued at US$111.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$896.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Armstrong World Industries shares are worth a total of US$5.38b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5, Armstrong World Industries uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.9 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Also good is that Armstrong World Industries grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Armstrong World Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Armstrong World Industries recorded free cash flow worth 55% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On this analysis, Armstrong World Industries's interest cover was a real positive, just like an unsolicited gift of cupcakes from a work colleague. And its apparent ability to to grow its EBIT is also rather rousing! Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Armstrong World Industries can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Armstrong World Industries that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Armstrong World Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.