Air Lease Corporation

NYSE:AL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.2b

Air Lease Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Air Lease's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 5.3% and 13% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 13.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.1% in 3 years.

Key information

-13.0%

Earnings growth rate

-13.45%

EPS growth rate

Trade Distributors earnings growth15.5%
Revenue growth rate-5.3%
Future return on equity10.13%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated04 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Air Lease Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 07
Air Lease Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

Why Air Lease's $65 Offer Adds Up On Paper... And Still Fails Investors

Oct 01

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Earnings

Aug 11
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Earnings

Air Lease Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 07
Air Lease Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Presents An Opportunity

Jul 26
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Presents An Opportunity

Returns At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

May 24
Returns At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Results: Air Lease Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

May 08
Results: Air Lease Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

May 07
Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Air Lease: Are Repurchases Imminent With Q1 Earnings?

Apr 29

Should You Investigate Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) At US$45.84?

Apr 28
Should You Investigate Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) At US$45.84?

Air Lease Corporation: Upside Despite Interest Headwinds

Feb 24

Air Lease Corporation: Aircraft Values Are Firmly Supported And So Is Upside For The Stock

Nov 28
User avatar

OEM Delays And Flaws Mix With Strong Demand And Order Book To Sway Future Finances

Persistent OEM delays and manufacturing flaws have resulted in a demand surge for Air Lease's delivery slots, boosting lease rates and aircraft values.

Air Lease Stock Crashes On Recession Fears, But Remains A Buy

Aug 04

Air Lease: Tremendous Value Hiding In "Plane" Sight

Mar 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,246679N/AN/A2
12/31/20273,369700N/AN/A3
12/31/20263,103586N/AN/A3
12/31/20253,0161,044-3141,735N/A
9/30/20252,908967-7421,751N/A
6/30/20252,873923-1,4601,754N/A
3/31/20252,809639-1,1431,694N/A
12/31/20242,734372-1,3591,677N/A
9/30/20242,737490-2,1411,712N/A
6/30/20242,707521-1,1831,651N/A
3/31/20242,712552-4301,770N/A
12/31/20232,685573-1,0961,747N/A
9/30/20232,570497-6511,706N/A
6/30/20232,472475-1,2251,574N/A
3/31/20232,357459-2,5811,476N/A
12/31/20222,317-139-2,0221,382N/A
9/30/20222,313-131-2,2541,406N/A
6/30/20222,276-131-2,2511,463N/A
3/31/20222,210-152-1,7681,397N/A
12/31/20212,088408-1,7181,377N/A
9/30/20211,980373-2,0251,302N/A
6/30/20211,949390-1,8011,225N/A
3/31/20211,979448-1,3141,090N/A
12/31/20202,015501-1,4371,090N/A
9/30/20202,075555-4951,139N/A
6/30/20202,112590-1,2051,205N/A
3/31/20202,062570-2,2571,365N/A
12/31/20192,017575-2,4521,392N/A
9/30/20191,918552N/A1,356N/A
6/30/20191,838547N/A1,322N/A
3/31/20191,765538N/A1,269N/A
12/31/20181,680511N/A1,254N/A
9/30/20181,628844N/A1,178N/A
6/30/20181,554796N/A1,150N/A
3/31/20181,537782N/A1,087N/A
12/31/20171,516756N/A1,060N/A
9/30/20171,488382N/A1,010N/A
6/30/20171,467376N/A1,013N/A
3/31/20171,436367N/A1,012N/A
12/31/20161,419375N/A1,020N/A
9/30/20161,375359N/A1,015N/A
6/30/20161,333343N/A943N/A
3/31/20161,288327N/A858N/A
12/31/20151,223253N/A840N/A
9/30/20151,182243N/A784N/A
6/30/20151,131228N/A794N/A
3/31/20151,083214N/A798N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-13% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.3% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.1%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/12 13:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/12 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Air Lease Corporation is covered by 21 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Terry MaBarclays
James FotheringhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research