Air Lease Corporation

NYSE:AL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

Air Lease Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Air Lease is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.6% and 8.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.5% in 3 years.

Key information

12.6%

Earnings growth rate

11.1%

EPS growth rate

Trade Distributors earnings growth9.0%
Revenue growth rate8.4%
Future return on equity8.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated21 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Air Lease Corporation: Aircraft Values Are Firmly Supported And So Is Upside For The Stock

Nov 28

Returns On Capital At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Have Hit The Brakes

Nov 07
Returns On Capital At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Have Hit The Brakes

Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Oct 23
Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Do Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Oct 08
Do Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

Aug 22
Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21

When Should You Buy Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL)?

Aug 20
When Should You Buy Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL)?

Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.21

Aug 05
Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.21

Air Lease Stock Crashes On Recession Fears, But Remains A Buy

Aug 04

Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Aug 01
Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Little Excitement Around Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Earnings

Jun 23
Little Excitement Around Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Earnings

Is Now The Time To Put Air Lease (NYSE:AL) On Your Watchlist?

Jun 07
Is Now The Time To Put Air Lease (NYSE:AL) On Your Watchlist?

Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment

Apr 27
Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) CEO Compensation Is Looking A Bit Stretched At The Moment

Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Apr 23
Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Should You Think About Buying Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Now?

Apr 01
Should You Think About Buying Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Now?

Air Lease: Tremendous Value Hiding In "Plane" Sight

Mar 08

Air Lease: Nice Growth And Solid Margins At Cheap Valuation

Feb 01

Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Jan 29
Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Not Lagging Industry On Growth Or Pricing

Here's What To Make Of Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Jan 08
Here's What To Make Of Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Air Lease Corporation: Underappreciation For Airplane Assets Drives Significant Upside

Nov 06

Air Lease Corporation: I Still Prefer The Preferreds

Oct 04

Air Lease: Shares Underperforming Lately, Earnings Growth Questionable, Macro Risks

Aug 08

Air Lease: Still A Mixed Outlook, Maintain Hold

Feb 21

Air Lease Corporation: Shares Near Fair Value After A Strong Q4

Jan 25

Air Lease puts Airbus aircrafts on long-term contracts with Croatia Airlines

Jan 16

Air Lease prices $700M senior unsecured medium-term notes

Jan 10

Air Lease closes $400M term loan facility

Dec 09

Air Lease Corporation: Should Continue To Trade Choppy And In A Tight Range

Nov 07

Air Lease signs aircraft lease deal with Aeroitalia

Nov 01

Air Lease, LATAM Airlines sign lease deal for five Airbus A321-200 XLR jets

Oct 13

Air Lease announces lease placement of Boeing 737-8 aircraft with Polish airline

Oct 05

Air Lease enters long-term lease deal with Air Transat

Sep 08

Air Lease signs long-term lease deal with Condor

Aug 16

Air Lease Q2 Non-GAAP EPS, revenue up Y/Y

Aug 04

Air Lease delivers 21 aircraft, buys one Airbus A321neo in Q2

Jul 12

Air Lease Corporation: Still A Buy After Loss

May 31

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20263,238581N/AN/A3
12/31/20253,061518-4722,0286
12/31/20242,728364-4641,6505
9/30/20242,737490-2,1411,712N/A
6/30/20242,707521-1,1831,651N/A
3/31/20242,712552-4301,770N/A
12/31/20232,685573-1,0961,747N/A
9/30/20232,570497-6511,706N/A
6/30/20232,472475-1,2251,574N/A
3/31/20232,357459-2,5811,476N/A
12/31/20222,317-139-2,0221,382N/A
9/30/20222,313-131-2,2541,406N/A
6/30/20222,276-131-2,2511,463N/A
3/31/20222,210-152-1,7681,397N/A
12/31/20212,088408-1,7181,377N/A
9/30/20211,980373-2,0251,302N/A
6/30/20211,949390-1,8011,225N/A
3/31/20211,979448-1,3141,090N/A
12/31/20202,015501-1,4371,090N/A
9/30/20202,075555-4951,139N/A
6/30/20202,112590-1,2051,205N/A
3/31/20202,062570-2,2571,365N/A
12/31/20192,017575-2,4521,392N/A
9/30/20191,918552-3,2021,356N/A
6/30/20191,838547-2,4961,322N/A
3/31/20191,765538-2,5291,269N/A
12/31/20181,680511-2,1311,254N/A
9/30/20181,628844-1,9451,178N/A
6/30/20181,554796N/A1,150N/A
3/31/20181,537782N/A1,087N/A
12/31/20171,516756N/A1,060N/A
9/30/20171,488382N/A1,010N/A
6/30/20171,467376N/A1,013N/A
3/31/20171,436367N/A1,012N/A
12/31/20161,419375N/A1,020N/A
9/30/20161,375359N/A1,015N/A
6/30/20161,333343N/A943N/A
3/31/20161,288327N/A858N/A
12/31/20151,223253N/A840N/A
9/30/20151,182243N/A784N/A
6/30/20151,131228N/A794N/A
3/31/20151,083214N/A798N/A
12/31/20141,050256N/A769N/A
9/30/20141,007245N/A733N/A
6/30/2014961231N/A724N/A
3/31/2014913212N/A673N/A
12/31/2013859190N/A654N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AL's forecast earnings growth (12.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: AL's earnings (12.6% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: AL's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AL's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 03:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Air Lease Corporation is covered by 26 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Terry MaBarclays
James FotheringhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research