Air Lease Future Growth
Future criteria checks 0/6
Air Lease's earnings are forecast to decline at 2.2% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 6.8% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 2.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.6% in 3 years.
Key information
-2.2%
Earnings growth rate
-2.43%
EPS growth rate
Trade Distributors earnings growth | 9.8% |
Revenue growth rate | 6.8% |
Future return on equity | 8.57% |
Analyst coverage | Low |
Last updated | 20 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Returns At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Appear To Be Weighed Down
May 24AerCap Has More Tailwinds Than Air Lease
May 21Results: Air Lease Corporation Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
May 08Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Shares Bounce 25% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
May 07Air Lease: Are Repurchases Imminent With Q1 Earnings?
Apr 29Should You Investigate Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) At US$45.84?
Apr 28Air Lease Corporation: Upside Despite Interest Headwinds
Feb 24There's No Escaping Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Muted Earnings
Feb 10At US$46.66, Is It Time To Put Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) On Your Watch List?
Jan 18Air Lease Corporation: Aircraft Values Are Firmly Supported And So Is Upside For The Stock
Nov 28Returns On Capital At Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Have Hit The Brakes
Nov 07Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Oct 23Do Air Lease's (NYSE:AL) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Oct 08OEM Delays And Flaws Mix With Strong Demand And Order Book To Sway Future Finances
Persistent OEM delays and manufacturing flaws have resulted in a demand surge for Air Lease's delivery slots, boosting lease rates and aircraft values.Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.21
Aug 22When Should You Buy Air Lease Corporation (NYSE:AL)?
Aug 20Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.21
Aug 05Air Lease Stock Crashes On Recession Fears, But Remains A Buy
Aug 04Air Lease (NYSE:AL) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
Aug 01Little Excitement Around Air Lease Corporation's (NYSE:AL) Earnings
Jun 23Is Now The Time To Put Air Lease (NYSE:AL) On Your Watchlist?
Jun 07Air Lease: Tremendous Value Hiding In "Plane" Sight
Mar 08Air Lease: Nice Growth And Solid Margins At Cheap Valuation
Feb 01Air Lease Corporation: Underappreciation For Airplane Assets Drives Significant Upside
Nov 06Air Lease Corporation: I Still Prefer The Preferreds
Oct 04Air Lease: Shares Underperforming Lately, Earnings Growth Questionable, Macro Risks
Aug 08Air Lease: Still A Mixed Outlook, Maintain Hold
Feb 21Air Lease Corporation: Shares Near Fair Value After A Strong Q4
Jan 25Air Lease puts Airbus aircrafts on long-term contracts with Croatia Airlines
Jan 16Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 3,380 | 673 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
12/31/2026 | 3,177 | 603 | -629 | 2,121 | 5 |
12/31/2025 | 2,955 | 773 | -1,562 | 1,788 | 5 |
3/31/2025 | 2,809 | 639 | -1,143 | 1,694 | N/A |
12/31/2024 | 2,734 | 372 | -1,359 | 1,677 | N/A |
9/30/2024 | 2,737 | 490 | -2,141 | 1,712 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 2,707 | 521 | -1,183 | 1,651 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 2,712 | 552 | -430 | 1,770 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 2,685 | 573 | -1,096 | 1,747 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 2,570 | 497 | -651 | 1,706 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 2,472 | 475 | -1,225 | 1,574 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 2,357 | 459 | -2,581 | 1,476 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 2,317 | -139 | -2,022 | 1,382 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 2,313 | -131 | -2,254 | 1,406 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 2,276 | -131 | -2,251 | 1,463 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 2,210 | -152 | -1,768 | 1,397 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 2,088 | 408 | -1,718 | 1,377 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 1,980 | 373 | -2,025 | 1,302 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 1,949 | 390 | -1,801 | 1,225 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 1,979 | 448 | -1,314 | 1,090 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 2,015 | 501 | -1,437 | 1,090 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 2,075 | 555 | -495 | 1,139 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 2,112 | 590 | -1,205 | 1,205 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 2,062 | 570 | -2,257 | 1,365 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 2,017 | 575 | -2,452 | 1,392 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 1,918 | 552 | -3,202 | 1,356 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 1,838 | 547 | -2,496 | 1,322 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 1,765 | 538 | -2,529 | 1,269 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 1,680 | 511 | N/A | 1,254 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 1,628 | 844 | N/A | 1,178 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 1,554 | 796 | N/A | 1,150 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 1,537 | 782 | N/A | 1,087 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 1,516 | 756 | N/A | 1,060 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 1,488 | 382 | N/A | 1,010 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 1,467 | 376 | N/A | 1,013 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 1,436 | 367 | N/A | 1,012 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 1,419 | 375 | N/A | 1,020 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 1,375 | 359 | N/A | 1,015 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 1,333 | 343 | N/A | 943 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 1,288 | 327 | N/A | 858 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 1,223 | 253 | N/A | 840 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 1,182 | 243 | N/A | 784 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 1,131 | 228 | N/A | 794 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 1,083 | 214 | N/A | 798 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 1,050 | 256 | N/A | 769 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 1,007 | 245 | N/A | 733 | N/A |
6/30/2014 | 961 | 231 | N/A | 724 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).
Earnings vs Market: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AL's revenue (6.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AL's revenue (6.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/05/27 11:27 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/27 00:00 |
Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Air Lease Corporation is covered by 23 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
Terry Ma | Barclays |
Garrett Chase | Barclays |
James Fotheringham | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |