Should You Think About Buying AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) Now?

While AGCO Corporation (NYSE:AGCO) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NYSE, rising to highs of US$124 and falling to the lows of US$112. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether AGCO's current trading price of US$118 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at AGCO’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for AGCO

What's The Opportunity In AGCO?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 8.7% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy AGCO today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $129.17, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that AGCO’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will AGCO generate?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -16% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for AGCO. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Currently, AGCO appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AGCO for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on AGCO should the price fluctuate below its true value.

If you'd like to know more about AGCO as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for AGCO and you'll want to know about this.

If you are no longer interested in AGCO, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.