When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Arcosa, Inc. (NYSE:ACA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 30.9x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Arcosa has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Arcosa
Keen to find out how analysts think Arcosa's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Growth For Arcosa?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Arcosa would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 48%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 86% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 22% per annum during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Arcosa is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Arcosa's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Arcosa's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Arcosa that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Arcosa. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:ACA
Arcosa
Provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets in the United States.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.